000831:SZSEChina Rare Earth Resources And Technology Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
CN¥56.04
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Price action shows the stock trading at CNY 56.04, comfortably above the 20‑day (52.17), 50‑day (52.34) and 200‑day (51.66) moving averages, with a bullish MACD histogram (+0.46) and a neutral‑to‑slightly‑overbought RSI at 57.8. Volume is on an increasing trend and the Fear & Greed Index reads an “Extreme Greed” 89.86, suggesting strong short‑term buying pressure.
On the fundamentals side, the company carries an eye‑popping trailing PE of 254.7 and a PB of 12.0, while operating on thin margins (gross 17.5%, operating 14.9%) and a low ROE of 5%. Debt‑to‑equity is high at 6.8, free cash flow is negative (‑CNY 536 M), and the DCF‑derived fair value of CNY 10.13 implies a substantial valuation disconnect, even though the model shows a modest 9.9% upside. Revenue growth remains healthy at 12.8% YoY, driven by rare‑earth demand, but the combination of high leverage, weak cash generation, and sector‑specific regulatory exposure tempers enthusiasm.
On the fundamentals side, the company carries an eye‑popping trailing PE of 254.7 and a PB of 12.0, while operating on thin margins (gross 17.5%, operating 14.9%) and a low ROE of 5%. Debt‑to‑equity is high at 6.8, free cash flow is negative (‑CNY 536 M), and the DCF‑derived fair value of CNY 10.13 implies a substantial valuation disconnect, even though the model shows a modest 9.9% upside. Revenue growth remains healthy at 12.8% YoY, driven by rare‑earth demand, but the combination of high leverage, weak cash generation, and sector‑specific regulatory exposure tempers enthusiasm.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- price near resistance (CNY 59.17)
- extremely high valuation multiples
- elevated 30‑day volatility (≈60%)
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- steady revenue growth (12.8% YoY)
- persistent high debt load
- ongoing strategic importance of rare‑earths
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- long‑term demand tailwinds for rare‑earth materials
- potential policy support from Chinese government
- opportunity for valuation re‑rating as cash flow improves
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth12.80%
Profit Margin7.28%
P/E Ratio254.7
ROE5.00%
ROA3.55%
Debt/Equity6.82
P/B Ratio12.0
Op. Cash FlowCN¥670.2M
Free Cash FlowCN¥-536098656
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI57.8
SupportCN¥47.43
ResistanceCN¥59.17
MA 20CN¥52.17
MA 50CN¥52.34
MA 200CN¥51.66
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥10.13
Target PriceCN¥61.60
Upside/Downside9.92%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.56
Volatility60.61%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.