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000831:SZSEChina Rare Earth Resources And Technology Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

CN¥56.04

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Price action shows the stock trading at CNY 56.04, comfortably above the 20‑day (52.17), 50‑day (52.34) and 200‑day (51.66) moving averages, with a bullish MACD histogram (+0.46) and a neutral‑to‑slightly‑overbought RSI at 57.8. Volume is on an increasing trend and the Fear & Greed Index reads an “Extreme Greed” 89.86, suggesting strong short‑term buying pressure.
On the fundamentals side, the company carries an eye‑popping trailing PE of 254.7 and a PB of 12.0, while operating on thin margins (gross 17.5%, operating 14.9%) and a low ROE of 5%. Debt‑to‑equity is high at 6.8, free cash flow is negative (‑CNY 536 M), and the DCF‑derived fair value of CNY 10.13 implies a substantial valuation disconnect, even though the model shows a modest 9.9% upside. Revenue growth remains healthy at 12.8% YoY, driven by rare‑earth demand, but the combination of high leverage, weak cash generation, and sector‑specific regulatory exposure tempers enthusiasm.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • price near resistance (CNY 59.17)
  • extremely high valuation multiples
  • elevated 30‑day volatility (≈60%)

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • steady revenue growth (12.8% YoY)
  • persistent high debt load
  • ongoing strategic importance of rare‑earths

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • long‑term demand tailwinds for rare‑earth materials
  • potential policy support from Chinese government
  • opportunity for valuation re‑rating as cash flow improves

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth12.80%
Profit Margin7.28%
P/E Ratio254.7
ROE5.00%
ROA3.55%
Debt/Equity6.82
P/B Ratio12.0
Op. Cash FlowCN¥670.2M
Free Cash FlowCN¥-536098656

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI57.8
SupportCN¥47.43
ResistanceCN¥59.17
MA 20CN¥52.17
MA 50CN¥52.34
MA 200CN¥51.66
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥10.13
Target PriceCN¥61.60
Upside/Downside9.92%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta0.56
Volatility60.61%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.