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000831:SZSEChina Rare Earth Resources And Technology Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time

CN¥50.39

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

China Rare Earth Resources (000831.SZ) is trading at CNY 50.39, which sits just above the calculated support of CNY 50.35 and well below the 20‑day SMA of CNY 57.37, indicating short‑term price pressure. Technical signals are mixed: the overall trend is flagged as bullish, yet the MACD shows a bearish divergence (MACD line -0.60 vs. signal 0.61) and volume is on a decreasing trajectory, suggesting limited upward momentum in the near term. Fundamentally, the stock appears severely overvalued with a trailing P/E of 503.9, a price‑to‑book of 11.06, and slim margins (gross 5.5%, operating 3.1%). The DCF‑derived fair value of CNY 1.67 implies a theoretical upside of roughly 22 % to a consensus target of CNY 61.6, but this contrasts sharply with the current valuation metrics. 
Geopolitical headlines highlight expanding rare‑earth corridors in India and ongoing global reliance on Chinese supply, which could boost demand for the company’s products. However, the same dynamics also elevate sector‑specific regulatory and geopolitical risks. The market sentiment index reads “Extreme Greed,” reflecting heightened investor optimism despite the underlying financial weaknesses.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering just above support level
  • Bearish MACD divergence
  • Decreasing trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish overall trend direction
  • Consensus target price implies ~22% upside
  • Growing global demand for rare‑earths

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic importance of rare‑earth supply chain
  • High valuation relative to earnings and cash flow
  • Elevated sector and geopolitical risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-22.40%
Profit Margin3.03%
P/E Ratio503.9
ROE2.28%
ROA-1.71%
Debt/Equity7.62
P/B Ratio11.1
Op. Cash FlowCN¥119.0M
Free Cash FlowCN¥-210149248

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI38.2
SupportCN¥50.35
ResistanceCN¥65.94
MA 20CN¥57.37
MA 50CN¥54.43
MA 200CN¥47.51
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.16

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥1.67
Target PriceCN¥61.60
Upside/Downside22.25%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.23
Volatility70.05%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.