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000792:SZSEQinghai Salt Lake Industry Co.,Ltd Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

CN¥39.60

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading well above its 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs and sits near the upper end of its 52‑week range, confirming a bullish technical backdrop. Momentum indicators are mixed: the MACD line remains bullish while the RSI hovers in the overbought zone, suggesting short‑term caution near the resistance level. Volume has been stable despite a relatively high 30‑day volatility, and the computed beta indicates low systematic risk. Support sits comfortably below the current price, providing a cushion against downside moves.
Fundamentally, the company delivers robust top‑line growth of roughly 35% YoY and maintains industry‑leading gross and operating margins. Cash generation is strong, with cash balances far exceeding debt, and the forward PE of under 20 points to improving valuation relative to historical levels. The DCF model implies a modest upside, and analyst consensus is a strong‑buy, reflecting confidence in long‑term demand for potash and lithium products.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price above multiple moving averages
  • RSI in overbought territory near resistance
  • Stable volume despite elevated volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and high operating margins
  • DCF implied upside and forward PE below 20
  • Analyst consensus of strong‑buy

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term demand for potash fertilizers and lithium products
  • Robust cash generation and low net debt
  • Strategic position in a growing basic materials sector

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth34.80%
Profit Margin38.14%
P/E Ratio34.7
ROE15.50%
ROA8.42%
Debt/Equity1.94
P/B Ratio5.1
Op. Cash FlowCN¥12.6B
Free Cash FlowCN¥6.9B

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI68.1
SupportCN¥31.23
ResistanceCN¥40.90
MA 20CN¥36.29
MA 50CN¥33.91
MA 200CN¥23.94
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥52.45
Target PriceCN¥39.62
Upside/Downside0.06%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta0.26
Volatility47.84%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.