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000783:SZSEChangjiang Securities Company Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

CN¥7.55

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: The stock is trading close to a key support level with a neutral trend, a modestly low RSI that hints at slight oversold conditions, and a bearish MACD signal, while trading volume is on the rise. Fundamental outlook: Valuation appears attractive as the price‑earnings multiple sits below the industry average and the price‑to‑book ratio is close to parity, complemented by a dividend yield that compares favorably with peers and a sizable upside potential relative to the current price.
Risk considerations: The security exhibits a low beta, suggesting limited market‑wide price swings, but the 30‑day volatility is elevated. A heavy debt load raises balance‑sheet concerns, and the capital‑markets segment in China faces a moderate regulatory environment. Liquidity is strong given robust average volumes and a sizable market capitalization, supporting the overall investment case.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price near technical support
  • slightly oversold RSI
  • increasing trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • valuation gap versus industry
  • attractive dividend yield
  • strong profit margins

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • persistent debt burden
  • stable cash flow generation potential
  • moderate regulatory environment

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth96.10%
Profit Margin36.18%
P/E Ratio11.8
ROE9.49%
ROA2.17%
Debt/Equity181.78
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash FlowCN¥-1932738816
Industry P/E16.4

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI37.1
SupportCN¥7.45
ResistanceCN¥8.11
MA 20CN¥7.77
MA 50CN¥8.20
MA 200CN¥7.87
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Target PriceCN¥8.86
Upside/Downside17.28%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.99%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.27
Volatility29.71%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.