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000776:SZSEGF Securities Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

CN¥19.32

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

GF Securities is trading just above its near‑term support of ~19.25 CNY, with the RSI at a deep 24.9 indicating oversold conditions and a bearish MACD histogram confirming short‑term weakness. Volume is increasing, which could fuel a modest bounce, while the 30‑day volatility of roughly 21% and a low computed beta (~0.31) suggest limited market‑wide risk but notable price swings. The model‑based upside of over 37% and a neutral trend direction highlight a potentially attractive entry point despite the current bearish technical signal.
Fundamentally, the company posted an impressive 59% revenue growth and trades at a PE of ~11.4 versus an industry average of ~16.4, indicating it is undervalued. The dividend yield of 2.59% with a modest payout ratio (~30%) adds income appeal, but a debt‑to‑equity ratio near 300 and negative operating cash flow raise concerns about long‑term financial resilience. Analysts collectively rate the stock as a strong buy, reflecting confidence in its growth trajectory and valuation discount.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI in oversold territory
  • Price near technical support
  • Increasing trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth (~59%)
  • PE well below industry average
  • Attractive dividend yield with low payout

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • High debt‑to‑equity ratio
  • Potential regulatory tightening in Chinese capital markets
  • Large cash reserves providing a cushion

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth59.30%
Profit Margin40.87%
P/E Ratio11.4
ROE9.70%
ROA1.73%
Debt/Equity297.58
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash FlowCN¥-63432437760
Industry P/E16.4

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI24.9
SupportCN¥19.25
ResistanceCN¥21.90
MA 20CN¥20.52
MA 50CN¥21.64
MA 200CN¥20.49
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Target PriceCN¥26.54
Upside/Downside37.35%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield2.59%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.31
Volatility20.78%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.