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000685:SSEZhongshan Public Utilities Group Co.,Ltd Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-06 - not real-time

CN¥10.77

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Zhongshan Public Utilities trades at a **trailing P/E of 7.33**, far below the industry average of 22.57, and a **price‑to‑book of 0.82**, indicating a clear valuation discount. The stock’s **beta of 0.14** signals very low price sensitivity to market swings, while the **30‑day volatility of 41%** suggests occasional price swings but limited systematic risk. Technical gauges show the price at **CNY 10.77**, just above the computed support of **CNY 10.76**, with an **RSI of 35** hinting at oversold conditions, yet the **MACD remains bearish**, tempering short‑term upside expectations. The company generates solid cash flow (**operating cash flow of CNY 0.70 bn**) and maintains a modest **dividend yield of 0.76%** with a low payout ratio of **5.6%**, supporting dividend sustainability. However, the balance sheet is leveraged, reflected by a **debt‑to‑equity of 52.8%** and total debt exceeding CNY 10 bn, which warrants monitoring.
Overall, the blend of deep valuation discounts, stable cash generation, and defensive beta makes the stock attractive for value‑oriented investors, while the bearish MACD and high short‑term volatility advise caution. The utility sector’s regulated nature offers a **low sector risk**, but Chinese regulatory and geopolitical factors introduce a **medium geographic and regulatory risk**. Given the current price near support and the lack of recent news catalysts, the medium‑ to long‑term outlook remains positive if the company can manage its debt load and sustain dividend payouts.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering just above technical support
  • Bearish MACD despite oversold RSI
  • Low beta reducing market‑wide downside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap vs industry peers
  • Stable cash flow and sustainable dividend
  • Defensive sector positioning with regulated revenue

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term cash‑flow stability in utilities
  • Margin of safety from low P/E and P/B ratios
  • Consistent dividend policy supporting total return

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.90%
Profit Margin46.50%
P/E Ratio7.3
ROE11.52%
ROA0.70%
Debt/Equity52.83
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash FlowCN¥698.4M
Free Cash FlowCN¥173.6M
Industry P/E22.6

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI35.2
SupportCN¥10.76
ResistanceCN¥13.22
MA 20CN¥11.70
MA 50CN¥11.40
MA 200CN¥11.60
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.02

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.76%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.14
Volatility41.23%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.