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000685:SSEZhongshan Public Utilities Group Co.,Ltd Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

CN¥11.49

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Zhongshan Public Utilities is trading at CNY 11.49, which sits below its 20‑day (CNY 11.87) and 50‑day (CNY 12.01) moving averages, hinting at short‑term weakness. The RSI of 39 signals that the stock is approaching oversold territory, yet the MACD remains bearish with the line under the signal, suggesting limited upside momentum. Volume is rising, offering decent liquidity, and the beta of roughly 0.12 indicates the share is only mildly sensitive to broader market swings. On the fundamentals side, the company’s trailing P/E of 12 is well under the industry average of 23, and the P/B of 0.94 is below 1, which would normally imply value, but the DCF‑derived fair value of CNY 6.24 is less than half the current price, flagging potential overvaluation. The balance sheet is leveraged – debt‑to‑equity sits at 52.6% and total debt far exceeds cash reserves – while revenue has contracted 16.8% year‑over‑year. The dividend yield is modest at 0.7% with a low payout ratio (~8.6%), indicating that the dividend is likely sustainable despite the debt load.
Overall, the stock presents a mixed picture: attractive relative valuation multiples but a significant gap to intrinsic value, weak recent earnings growth, and a bearish technical stance.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs
  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • High leverage relative to cash

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • P/E well below industry average
  • Low beta and stable utility demand
  • Sustainable dividend despite modest yield

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value far below market price
  • Continued revenue decline
  • Elevated debt burden limiting growth

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-16.80%
Profit Margin25.45%
P/E Ratio12.1
ROE7.72%
ROA0.67%
Debt/Equity52.60
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash FlowCN¥96.7M
Free Cash FlowCN¥1.3B
Industry P/E23.3

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI39.1
SupportCN¥11.42
ResistanceCN¥12.37
MA 20CN¥11.87
MA 50CN¥12.01
MA 200CN¥10.92
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.64

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥6.24
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.70%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.12
Volatility22.83%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.