000630:SZSETongling Nonferrous Metals Group Co.,Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-02 - not real-time
CN¥6.46
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
At ¥6.46, Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group Co.,Ltd. shows no decisive moving-average alignment, leaving the trend neutral. Over a rolling month the price has gained 5.9%. RSI sits at 47.9, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bearish. Watch ¥6.33 as support and ¥7.00 as the nearer resistance level.
On valuation the read is fair — an earnings multiple of 21.5, absent a reliable peer benchmark. Consensus targets land 24.6% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 39.6% on a 1.8% profit margin. The 3.00% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 6 — elevated. With 30-day volatility of 46.3%, a beta of 0.67 and a maximum drawdown of 39.2%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on hold, with conviction of 3/10.
On valuation the read is fair — an earnings multiple of 21.5, absent a reliable peer benchmark. Consensus targets land 24.6% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 39.6% on a 1.8% profit margin. The 3.00% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 6 — elevated. With 30-day volatility of 46.3%, a beta of 0.67 and a maximum drawdown of 39.2%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on hold, with conviction of 3/10.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 6.36
- MACD momentum is negative
- 30-day price change of +5.9%
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 6.36
- Analyst targets imply +24.6% versus the current price
- 30-day volatility of 46.3%
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Analyst targets imply +24.6% versus the current price
- Revenue growth of +39.6%
- Negative free cash flow
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth39.60%
Profit Margin1.82%
P/E Ratio21.5
ROE13.61%
ROA7.53%
Debt/Equity72.05
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash FlowCN¥-204744144
Free Cash FlowCN¥-4197290240
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI47.9
SupportCN¥6.33
ResistanceCN¥7.00
MA 20CN¥6.63
MA 50CN¥6.35
MA 200CN¥6.36
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.09
Valuation
Target PriceCN¥8.05
Upside/Downside24.61%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.00%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.67
Volatility46.32%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.