We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

000630:SZSETongling Nonferrous Metals Group Co.,Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-02 - not real-time

CN¥6.46

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

At ¥6.46, Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group Co.,Ltd. shows no decisive moving-average alignment, leaving the trend neutral. Over a rolling month the price has gained 5.9%. RSI sits at 47.9, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bearish. Watch ¥6.33 as support and ¥7.00 as the nearer resistance level.
On valuation the read is fair — an earnings multiple of 21.5, absent a reliable peer benchmark. Consensus targets land 24.6% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 39.6% on a 1.8% profit margin. The 3.00% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 6 — elevated. With 30-day volatility of 46.3%, a beta of 0.67 and a maximum drawdown of 39.2%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on hold, with conviction of 3/10.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Trading above the 200-day average of 6.36
  • MACD momentum is negative
  • 30-day price change of +5.9%

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Trading above the 200-day average of 6.36
  • Analyst targets imply +24.6% versus the current price
  • 30-day volatility of 46.3%

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst targets imply +24.6% versus the current price
  • Revenue growth of +39.6%
  • Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth39.60%
Profit Margin1.82%
P/E Ratio21.5
ROE13.61%
ROA7.53%
Debt/Equity72.05
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash FlowCN¥-204744144
Free Cash FlowCN¥-4197290240

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI47.9
SupportCN¥6.33
ResistanceCN¥7.00
MA 20CN¥6.63
MA 50CN¥6.35
MA 200CN¥6.36
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.09

Valuation

Target PriceCN¥8.05
Upside/Downside24.61%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.00%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.67
Volatility46.32%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.