000564:SZSECcoop Group Co., Ltd Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time
CN¥2.21
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: The short‑term moving averages are stacked in a bearish order, with the 20‑day average below both the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, while the RSI sits below the 40 threshold, suggesting oversold conditions. The MACD histogram is marginally positive and the price is trading just above the identified support level, offering a modest upside cushion. Volatility is elevated and the computed beta is low, indicating limited market‑wide price swings despite the choppy price action.
Fundamental backdrop: The company reports negative revenue growth and a loss‑making profit margin, with operating cash flow and free cash flow deeply negative. Debt levels far exceed cash reserves, resulting in a high leverage profile, while valuation multiples such as price‑to‑book and price‑to‑sales are markedly above typical benchmarks. There is no dividend and analyst coverage is absent, reinforcing the perception of limited upside potential. Overall, the market sentiment appears overly optimistic given the stark earnings and balance‑sheet challenges.
Fundamental backdrop: The company reports negative revenue growth and a loss‑making profit margin, with operating cash flow and free cash flow deeply negative. Debt levels far exceed cash reserves, resulting in a high leverage profile, while valuation multiples such as price‑to‑book and price‑to‑sales are markedly above typical benchmarks. There is no dividend and analyst coverage is absent, reinforcing the perception of limited upside potential. Overall, the market sentiment appears overly optimistic given the stark earnings and balance‑sheet challenges.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- RSI indicating oversold conditions
- price positioned just above support
- elevated short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- persistent negative earnings and margins
- high debt relative to cash holdings
- absence of dividend and analyst coverage
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- structural leverage constraints
- weak cash‑flow generation
- challenging consumer‑cyclical environment in the domestic market
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-10.10%
Profit Margin-113.59%
ROE-9.12%
ROA-0.49%
Debt/Equity43.35
P/B Ratio2.5
Op. Cash FlowCN¥-892894528
Free Cash FlowCN¥-2902218752
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI37.6
SupportCN¥2.16
ResistanceCN¥2.40
MA 20CN¥2.27
MA 50CN¥2.40
MA 200CN¥2.48
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index76.45
Valuation
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.17
Volatility24.95%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.