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000564:SZSECcoop Group Co., Ltd Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time

CN¥2.21

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: The short‑term moving averages are stacked in a bearish order, with the 20‑day average below both the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, while the RSI sits below the 40 threshold, suggesting oversold conditions. The MACD histogram is marginally positive and the price is trading just above the identified support level, offering a modest upside cushion. Volatility is elevated and the computed beta is low, indicating limited market‑wide price swings despite the choppy price action.
Fundamental backdrop: The company reports negative revenue growth and a loss‑making profit margin, with operating cash flow and free cash flow deeply negative. Debt levels far exceed cash reserves, resulting in a high leverage profile, while valuation multiples such as price‑to‑book and price‑to‑sales are markedly above typical benchmarks. There is no dividend and analyst coverage is absent, reinforcing the perception of limited upside potential. Overall, the market sentiment appears overly optimistic given the stark earnings and balance‑sheet challenges.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI indicating oversold conditions
  • price positioned just above support
  • elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • persistent negative earnings and margins
  • high debt relative to cash holdings
  • absence of dividend and analyst coverage

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • structural leverage constraints
  • weak cash‑flow generation
  • challenging consumer‑cyclical environment in the domestic market

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-10.10%
Profit Margin-113.59%
ROE-9.12%
ROA-0.49%
Debt/Equity43.35
P/B Ratio2.5
Op. Cash FlowCN¥-892894528
Free Cash FlowCN¥-2902218752

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI37.6
SupportCN¥2.16
ResistanceCN¥2.40
MA 20CN¥2.27
MA 50CN¥2.40
MA 200CN¥2.48
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index76.45

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.17
Volatility24.95%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.