000425:SZSEXCMG Construction Machinery Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time
CN¥10.98
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
XCMG (000425.SZ) is trading at CNY 10.98, just above the calculated support of CNY 10.93 and below the 20‑day SMA of CNY 12.02, indicating a near‑term price floor. The stock shows a bullish trend direction with increasing volume, while the RSI of 39 hints at modest oversold pressure and the MACD histogram remains negative, suggesting short‑term caution.
Fundamentally, the company delivers strong revenue growth (21% YoY), a PE of 19.3 versus the industry average of 29.4, and a dividend yield of 1.59% with a payout ratio under 32%, supporting dividend sustainability. Analysts rate it a “strong buy” with a median target of CNY 12.96, implying ~16% upside, and recent news of multiple batch deliveries underscores operational momentum.
Fundamentally, the company delivers strong revenue growth (21% YoY), a PE of 19.3 versus the industry average of 29.4, and a dividend yield of 1.59% with a payout ratio under 32%, supporting dividend sustainability. Analysts rate it a “strong buy” with a median target of CNY 12.96, implying ~16% upside, and recent news of multiple batch deliveries underscores operational momentum.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price hovering above strong support level
- Increasing trading volume supporting bullish bias
- Positive delivery news boosting short‑term sentiment
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth of 21% and expanding margins
- Valuation discount to industry PE and ~16% upside to analyst targets
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong cash generation offset by high debt‑to‑equity (~81%)
- Cyclical exposure of construction machinery sector
- Consistent dividend payout and solid ROE (~11%)
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth21.00%
Profit Margin6.61%
P/E Ratio19.3
ROE10.95%
ROA3.20%
Debt/Equity81.46
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash FlowCN¥9.6B
Free Cash FlowCN¥4.5B
Industry P/E29.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI39.0
SupportCN¥10.93
ResistanceCN¥12.90
MA 20CN¥12.02
MA 50CN¥11.53
MA 200CN¥10.01
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.04
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥10.08
Target PriceCN¥12.81
Upside/Downside16.70%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.59%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.05
Volatility47.23%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.