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000158:SSEShijiazhuang ChangShan BeiMing Technology Co.,Ltd Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time

CN¥20.65

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: The stock is trading around its short‑term moving averages with a bullish MACD histogram, yet it remains below the long‑term 200‑day average, signaling a broader bearish bias. Support sits just under the current price while resistance is a few points higher, and the 30‑day volatility is elevated, though trading volume is on the rise.
Fundamental outlook: Revenue has contracted sharply and margins are negative, while the balance sheet is strained by a debt load that dwarfs equity. Forward earnings are modestly positive, but valuation multiples are high, with a forward price‑to‑earnings ratio in the forties and a price‑to‑book well above six, and the company does not pay a dividend. The combination of weak profitability, heavy leverage, and premium pricing makes the stock appear overvalued despite some short‑term technical optimism.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Price below long‑term moving average indicating bearish bias
  • High debt relative to equity
  • Elevated valuation multiples

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD suggesting possible short‑term upside
  • Forward earnings turning positive
  • Continued leverage concerns

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained negative margins and cash flow deficits
  • Heavy debt burden limiting financial flexibility
  • Overvaluation relative to earnings prospects

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-33.20%
Profit Margin-5.00%
P/E Ratio42.1
ROE-8.38%
ROA-1.41%
Debt/Equity133.14
P/B Ratio6.3
Op. Cash FlowCN¥-493683360
Free Cash FlowCN¥-1776946688

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI50.2
SupportCN¥19.65
ResistanceCN¥22.00
MA 20CN¥20.46
MA 50CN¥20.65
MA 200CN¥22.44
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.16

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.03
Volatility25.12%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.