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000120:KRXCJ Logistics Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-07 - not real-time

₩119,400.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

CJ Logistics trades at KRW 119,400, comfortably above its 50‑day (KRW 109,130) and 200‑day (KRW 92,363) moving averages but below the 20‑day SMA (KRW 126,855), suggesting a short‑term correction within a longer‑term bullish backdrop. Technical indicators are mixed: the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, while the RSI sits at a neutral 48.7 and volume is trending down, hinting at limited near‑term upside. Fundamentally, the company appears cheap – a forward P/E of 7.75 versus an industry average of 29.4 and a price‑to‑sales of 0.19 – yet the DCF fair value (KRW 83,516) is well below the market price, indicating some valuation tension. Strong cash reserves (KRW 672 bn) offset a high debt load (KRW 3,994 bn) with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 91.5%, while operating cash flow remains robust at KRW 899 bn. Revenue growth is modest at 3.1% and profit margins are thin (net margin 2.0%), but the dividend payout ratio is low at 6.7%, supporting dividend sustainability. Volatility is elevated at 78% over 30 days, but beta is effectively neutral (‑0.08), reducing market‑related risk. Analysts project a target mean price of KRW 158,067, implying roughly 32% upside potential. In summary, the stock is positioned as a fairly valued, value‑oriented play with decent upside, tempered by short‑term technical weakness, high leverage, and pronounced price swings.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and decreasing volume
  • Price testing support around KRW 99,700
  • Neutral RSI indicating no strong momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Forward P/E well below industry average
  • Projected upside of ~32% to target price
  • Strong operating cash flow and low dividend payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Secular demand for logistics and e‑commerce services
  • Undervalued relative to peers on valuation multiples
  • Sustainable dividend supported by ample cash reserves

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.10%
Profit Margin2.05%
P/E Ratio7.7
ROE6.31%
ROA3.10%
Debt/Equity91.48
Op. Cash Flow₩899.5B
Free Cash Flow₩314.4B
Industry P/E29.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI48.8
Support₩99,700.00
Resistance₩154,000.00
MA 20₩126,855.00
MA 50₩109,130.00
MA 200₩92,363.00
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index68.77

Valuation

Fair Value₩83,516.14
Target Price₩158,066.67
Upside/Downside32.38%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.70%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.08
Volatility77.83%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.