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ZIP:NYSEZipRecruiter, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-13 - not real-time

$3.94

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

ZipRecruiter is trading at $3.94, comfortably above the 20‑day SMA of $3.66 and the 50‑day SMA of $3.47, indicating a short‑term bullish bias. The MACD line sits above its signal (0.165 vs 0.153) and the RSI is at 59.6, suggesting momentum is still intact but not yet overbought. Technicals are supported by a clear support zone around $2.90 and a resistance ceiling near $4.12, leaving limited upside in the near term. Volume has been decreasing, and 30‑day volatility is extreme at over 100%, flagging potential price swings. Fundamentally, revenue slipped 2% YoY to $107.5 M and the company posted a $4.7 M net loss, yet adjusted EBITDA turned positive at $9.7 M with a 9% margin, beating guidance. Forward earnings are projected at $0.43 per share, delivering a forward P/E of 9.2—well below the industry average of 16.3, which points to an undervalued valuation. The balance sheet is strained: cash of $393 M is outweighed by debt of $557 M, and the book value per share is negative, resulting in a -3.8 × P/B ratio. Beta is high (≈2.4) and the stock’s recent drawdown exceeds 69%, underscoring elevated systematic risk. Recent AI‑powered job‑search integration with Anthropic’s Claude could revitalize user engagement, but hiring demand remains muted. Overall, the stock sits at the intersection of a technically bullish setup, a potentially attractive valuation, and significant downside risks from profitability, leverage, and market volatility.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and SMA crossover
  • Decreasing volume and extreme short‑term volatility
  • Price near resistance with limited upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Forward P/E of 9.2 versus industry 16.3 suggests valuation upside
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin of 9% and positive forward EPS
  • AI integration (Claude) may drive employer and job‑seeker engagement

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • High beta (≈2.4) and historic 69% drawdown increase systematic risk
  • Debt exceeds cash and negative book value raise balance‑sheet concerns
  • Long‑term hiring trends and macro‑economic cycles will dictate sustainable growth

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-2.30%
Profit Margin-5.58%
P/E Ratio9.2
ROA-0.85%
P/B Ratio-3.8
Op. Cash Flow$17.4M
Free Cash Flow$11.0M
Industry P/E16.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI59.6
Support$2.90
Resistance$4.12
MA 20$3.66
MA 50$3.47
MA 200$3.42
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.45

Valuation

Target Price$3.75
Upside/Downside-4.70%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta2.38
Volatility107.39%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.