ZBRA:NASDAQZebra Technologies Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-13 - not real-time
$202.72
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Zebra Technologies (ZBRA) is trading at $202.72, well below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs of $231, $242 and $281, indicating a pronounced bearish price trend. However, the RSI of 30 signals oversold conditions and the MACD remains in bearish territory, suggesting a potential technical rebound. The DCF‑derived fair value of $225.71 and an implied upside of roughly 66% (relative to the current price) together with a forward P/E of 10.0 underscore that the stock is fundamentally undervalued, especially when compared to the industry average P/E of 33.7. Revenue grew 10.6% YoY to $5.40 B, margins are solid (gross 48%, operating 15%) and free cash flow remains healthy at $658 M.
Recent material news adds momentum: ZBRA posted a Q4 revenue increase of 10.6% and adjusted EPS of $4.33, beating expectations, and announced a $1 B share buyback alongside an upbeat 2026 outlook. Analysts have upgraded the stock, with a median price target of $332 and a notable $400 objective, reinforcing the upside narrative. Despite a high beta of 1.73 and 30‑day volatility above 55%, the company's strong cash generation, modest dividend policy (none) and strategic positioning in automation and RFID markets mitigate downside risks, making it an attractive buy on both short‑ and medium‑term horizons.
Recent material news adds momentum: ZBRA posted a Q4 revenue increase of 10.6% and adjusted EPS of $4.33, beating expectations, and announced a $1 B share buyback alongside an upbeat 2026 outlook. Analysts have upgraded the stock, with a median price target of $332 and a notable $400 objective, reinforcing the upside narrative. Despite a high beta of 1.73 and 30‑day volatility above 55%, the company's strong cash generation, modest dividend policy (none) and strategic positioning in automation and RFID markets mitigate downside risks, making it an attractive buy on both short‑ and medium‑term horizons.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Oversold RSI and price near support level
- Positive earnings beat and $1 B buyback announcement
- Stable volume and low liquidity risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value indicates ~66% upside
- Forward P/E of 10x and strong revenue growth
- Analyst consensus buy with median target $332
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Secular demand for automation, RFID and data‑capture solutions
- Consistent free cash flow supporting strategic investments
- Undervaluation relative to industry peers and robust growth outlook
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth10.60%
Profit Margin7.76%
P/E Ratio24.8
ROE11.68%
ROA6.07%
Debt/Equity75.17
P/B Ratio2.8
Op. Cash Flow$917.0M
Free Cash Flow$658.5M
Industry P/E33.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI30.3
Support$201.64
Resistance$280.32
MA 20$231.35
MA 50$242.04
MA 200$281.03
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair Value$225.71
Target Price$336.38
Upside/Downside65.93%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.73
Volatility55.38%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.