ZAIN:KSEMobile Telecommunications Company K.S.C.P Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
KWF 613.00
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
ZAIN is trading at 613 KWF, hugging its 20‑day SMA of 593.8 and comfortably above the 50‑day SMA of 581.9, indicating a short‑term bullish bias. The 14‑day RSI of 66 remains below overbought levels, and the MACD line (7.52) sits above its signal (6.30) with a positive histogram, reinforcing momentum. Price is perched just below the identified resistance of 614 and above the support of 576, suggesting limited upside in the next few sessions, while an increasing volume trend adds confidence.
Fundamentally, the stock trades at a forward PE of 12.3 versus an industry average of 16.98, pointing to relative cheapness, yet the DCF‑derived fair value of ~285 KWF is far below the market price, flagging potential overvaluation. The attractive dividend yield of 9.9% is tempered by a high payout ratio of 98%, raising sustainability concerns. Healthy margins (gross 65%, operating 16%) and positive cash flow combine with a low beta of 0.32 and modest 30‑day volatility (14%), supporting a defensive, value‑oriented long‑run case despite short‑term pricing pressure.
Fundamentally, the stock trades at a forward PE of 12.3 versus an industry average of 16.98, pointing to relative cheapness, yet the DCF‑derived fair value of ~285 KWF is far below the market price, flagging potential overvaluation. The attractive dividend yield of 9.9% is tempered by a high payout ratio of 98%, raising sustainability concerns. Healthy margins (gross 65%, operating 16%) and positive cash flow combine with a low beta of 0.32 and modest 30‑day volatility (14%), supporting a defensive, value‑oriented long‑run case despite short‑term pricing pressure.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technicals but price near resistance
- High dividend yield with sustainability concerns
- DCF fair value indicates overvaluation
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- PE multiple below industry peers
- Strong operating margins and cash flow
- Moderate geopolitical exposure in region
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Defensive low‑beta telecom business
- Consistent revenue growth and high yield
- Potential for dividend policy improvement
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth5.60%
Profit Margin11.46%
P/E Ratio10.2
ROE15.66%
ROA4.82%
Debt/Equity104.78
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash FlowKWF643.1M
Free Cash FlowKWF174.4M
Industry P/E17.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI65.9
SupportKWF 576.00
ResistanceKWF 614.00
MA 20KWF 593.80
MA 50KWF 581.94
MA 200KWF 539.72
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair ValueKWF 285.16
Target PriceKWF 642.29
Upside/Downside4.78%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield9.92%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.32
Volatility14.17%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.