ZAIN:KSEMobile Telecommunications Company K.S.C.P Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
KWF 564.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical momentum is strong: the stock trades at 564 KWF, comfortably above its 20‑day (544.95), 50‑day (526.18) and 200‑day (516.12) moving averages, with a bullish MACD crossover (line 10.64 > signal 9.86) and an RSI of 67.7 indicating continued upward pressure. Volume is increasing, beta is low at 0.16 and the 30‑day volatility sits around 19%, suggesting a resilient but moderately volatile price action.
Fundamental picture is mixed: a trailing PE of 11.28 is well below the industry average of 17.77, pointing to relative cheapness, yet the price‑to‑book ratio is extreme (≈2007) and the DCF‑derived fair value (≈504 KWF) lies below the current price, hinting at possible overvaluation. The dividend yield is attractive at 10.6% but the payout ratio exceeds 100% (≈109%), raising sustainability concerns. Leverage is high (debt‑to‑equity ≈109%) while free cash flow remains positive, and no material news has emerged to shift the outlook.
Fundamental picture is mixed: a trailing PE of 11.28 is well below the industry average of 17.77, pointing to relative cheapness, yet the price‑to‑book ratio is extreme (≈2007) and the DCF‑derived fair value (≈504 KWF) lies below the current price, hinting at possible overvaluation. The dividend yield is attractive at 10.6% but the payout ratio exceeds 100% (≈109%), raising sustainability concerns. Leverage is high (debt‑to‑equity ≈109%) while free cash flow remains positive, and no material news has emerged to shift the outlook.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near resistance at 568 KWF
- High dividend payout ratio (>100%)
- Bullish technical indicators (MACD, SMA alignment)
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued PE relative to industry
- Increasing volume and low beta indicating stable demand
- Strong free cash flow supporting dividend continuity
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Elevated leverage (debt‑to‑equity >100%)
- Potential dividend sustainability risk
- Geopolitical exposure across multiple Middle‑East markets
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Profit Margin10.45%
P/E Ratio11.3
ROE14.45%
ROA4.81%
Debt/Equity109.10
P/B Ratio2007.1
Op. Cash FlowKWF622.1M
Free Cash FlowKWF265.1M
Industry P/E17.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI67.7
SupportKWF 516.00
ResistanceKWF 568.00
MA 20KWF 544.95
MA 50KWF 526.18
MA 200KWF 516.12
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair ValueKWF 503.85
Target PriceKWF 635.00
Upside/Downside12.59%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield10.64%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.16
Volatility19.17%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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STOCKThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.