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YTLPOWR:MYXYTL Power International Bhd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

MYR 2.82

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

YTL Power is trading at MYR 2.82, still below its 20‑day SMA of 2.86 and well under the 50‑day SMA of 3.14, signalling short‑term bearish momentum. The RSI of 43 suggests the stock is not yet oversold, while the MACD line sits just above its signal line, giving a modest bullish hint. Valuation looks attractive with a PE of 11.75 versus an industry average of 23.25 and a P/B of 1.13, yet the DCF‑derived fair value of MYR 1.14 implies the market price is significantly premium. The dividend remains a strong draw, offering a 4.26% yield on a modest 32% payout ratio, supporting the case for income‑focused investors.
On the balance sheet, the company carries a high leverage profile – a debt‑to‑equity of 180 and total debt of MYR 38.99 bn dwarf its cash reserves of MYR 10.86 bn. Operating cash flow is positive, but free cash flow is negative, highlighting cash‑generation pressure. Volatility is elevated at 35% (30‑day) while beta is low at 0.44, indicating market‑wide moves have limited impact. With support near MYR 2.51 and resistance at MYR 3.14, the upside potential is estimated around 49% based on analyst targets, but downside risk to support remains a key concern.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term moving averages indicating bearish bias
  • Support level at MYR 2.51 limits immediate downside
  • Attractive dividend yield of 4.26% provides income cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation multiples (PE 11.75) well below industry average
  • Analyst upside potential of roughly 49% to median target MYR 4.44
  • Sustainable dividend payout supporting total return

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified utilities exposure offers stable cash flows over time
  • High leverage (debt‑to‑equity 180) poses balance‑sheet risk
  • Regulatory environment and long‑term contracts underpin revenue stability

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-7.50%
Profit Margin10.66%
P/E Ratio11.8
ROE11.37%
ROA3.49%
Debt/Equity180.38
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash FlowMYR4.0B
Free Cash FlowMYR-3042202368
Industry P/E23.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI43.0
SupportMYR 2.51
ResistanceMYR 3.14
MA 20MYR 2.86
MA 50MYR 3.14
MA 200MYR 3.69
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair ValueMYR 1.14
Target PriceMYR 4.21
Upside/Downside49.24%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.26%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.44
Volatility35.38%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.