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YOU:NYSEClear Secure, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-08 - not real-time

$55.48

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU) posted a 19.7% year‑over‑year revenue increase to $942 million, underscoring the resilience of its identity‑verification platform. Gross margin of 65% and operating margin of 24.5% demonstrate strong pricing power and efficient cost control. Earnings per share are expected to more than double, with forward EPS of $2.59 versus trailing $1.25, compressing the forward P/E to 21.4x. The DCF‑derived fair value of $79.75 implies roughly a 12.8% upside from the current $55.48 price, while the consensus target median of $68 suggests additional upside. However, the trailing P/E of 44.4x and a price‑to‑book of 30.7x are well above the industry averages, flagging a premium valuation. The company pays a modest 1.07% dividend with a 42% payout ratio, supported by $341 million free cash flow, indicating sustainable income for shareholders.
On the technical side, the 20‑day SMA (53.42) sits below the market price, the MACD histogram is positive and the signal is bullish, while the RSI of 53 points to a neutral but not overbought condition. Support at $49.5 and resistance at $58.8 give a comfortable trading range, and volume has remained stable, limiting short‑term price spikes. Beta of 0.98 and a 30‑day volatility of 46.7% place the stock’s market risk near the broader index but with higher price swings. The Fear & Greed Index at 91 (Extreme Greed) reflects strong investor sentiment, yet the max drawdown of –22.9% signals that downside protection is limited. Regulatory exposure is moderate given reliance on TSA and data‑privacy rules, while the business is almost entirely U.S. based, keeping geographic and currency risks low. Overall, the blend of robust growth, solid cash generation, and a modest dividend makes YOU a compelling candidate for a medium‑term buy, with a cautious hold stance in the near term pending price confirmation.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD but price near resistance
  • Stable volume and support cushion
  • High valuation multiples temper upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • 19.7% revenue growth and expanding member base
  • Forward EPS expansion yielding 21x P/E
  • DCF upside and analyst targets above current price

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend backed by strong cash flow
  • Strategic partnership with Samsung expanding digital ID
  • Regulatory exposure and high valuation keep upside moderate

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth19.70%
Profit Margin13.00%
P/E Ratio44.4
ROE109.50%
ROA10.41%
Debt/Equity52.08
P/B Ratio30.7
Op. Cash Flow$464.5M
Free Cash Flow$341.2M
Industry P/E33.5

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI52.9
Support$49.50
Resistance$58.81
MA 20$53.42
MA 50$55.67
MA 200$42.84
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.25

Valuation

Fair Value$79.75
Target Price$62.60
Upside/Downside12.83%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.07%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.98
Volatility46.69%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.