YMM:NYSEFull Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time
$9.27
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Full Truck Alliance (YMM) is currently trading at $9.27, which sits below its 20‑day SMA of $9.43 and 50‑day SMA of $9.95, indicating short‑term bearish momentum. The MACD histogram remains negative (-0.0002) and the RSI is around 42, suggesting the stock is neither oversold nor overbought, while a 30‑day volatility of 24.9% and a beta near 0.92 point to heightened price swings.
On the fundamentals side, YMM appears significantly undervalued with a trailing PE of 16.9 versus an industry average of 36.9, a price‑to‑sales multiple of 0.78, and a dividend yield of 2.07% supported by a low payout ratio of 18%. The balance sheet is exceptionally strong, featuring $15.5 B in cash against negligible debt ($45 M), and analysts project a median target price of $13.69, implying upside potential of over 40%. These factors combine to make YMM a compelling medium‑ to long‑term buy despite current technical weakness.
On the fundamentals side, YMM appears significantly undervalued with a trailing PE of 16.9 versus an industry average of 36.9, a price‑to‑sales multiple of 0.78, and a dividend yield of 2.07% supported by a low payout ratio of 18%. The balance sheet is exceptionally strong, featuring $15.5 B in cash against negligible debt ($45 M), and analysts project a median target price of $13.69, implying upside potential of over 40%. These factors combine to make YMM a compelling medium‑ to long‑term buy despite current technical weakness.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Price below short‑term moving averages
- Bearish MACD and neutral RSI
- Elevated 30‑day volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued valuation relative to industry
- Strong cash position and minimal debt
- Attractive dividend yield with low payout
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Analyst upside potential exceeding 40%
- Sustainable dividend and solid balance sheet
- Growth prospects in China's digital freight market
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth10.80%
Profit Margin31.90%
P/E Ratio16.9
ROE10.46%
ROA5.83%
Debt/Equity0.11
P/B Ratio1.7
Industry P/E36.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI42.1
Support$8.71
Resistance$10.12
MA 20$9.42
MA 50$9.95
MA 200$11.62
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index76.59
Valuation
Target Price$13.33
Upside/Downside43.76%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.07%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.92
Volatility24.95%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.