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YMM:NYSEFull Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

$9.27

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Full Truck Alliance (YMM) is currently trading at $9.27, which sits below its 20‑day SMA of $9.43 and 50‑day SMA of $9.95, indicating short‑term bearish momentum. The MACD histogram remains negative (-0.0002) and the RSI is around 42, suggesting the stock is neither oversold nor overbought, while a 30‑day volatility of 24.9% and a beta near 0.92 point to heightened price swings.
On the fundamentals side, YMM appears significantly undervalued with a trailing PE of 16.9 versus an industry average of 36.9, a price‑to‑sales multiple of 0.78, and a dividend yield of 2.07% supported by a low payout ratio of 18%. The balance sheet is exceptionally strong, featuring $15.5 B in cash against negligible debt ($45 M), and analysts project a median target price of $13.69, implying upside potential of over 40%. These factors combine to make YMM a compelling medium‑ to long‑term buy despite current technical weakness.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term moving averages
  • Bearish MACD and neutral RSI
  • Elevated 30‑day volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued valuation relative to industry
  • Strong cash position and minimal debt
  • Attractive dividend yield with low payout

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst upside potential exceeding 40%
  • Sustainable dividend and solid balance sheet
  • Growth prospects in China's digital freight market

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth10.80%
Profit Margin31.90%
P/E Ratio16.9
ROE10.46%
ROA5.83%
Debt/Equity0.11
P/B Ratio1.7
Industry P/E36.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI42.1
Support$8.71
Resistance$10.12
MA 20$9.42
MA 50$9.95
MA 200$11.62
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index76.59

Valuation

Target Price$13.33
Upside/Downside43.76%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.07%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.92
Volatility24.95%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.