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YBTY:NASDAQGraniteShares YieldBoost TopYielders ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-08 - not real-time

$12.13

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

The ETF is trading at $12.13, well below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day simple moving averages of 12.76, 13.45 and 16.61 respectively, signaling a sustained downtrend. Both the MACD line (‑0.376) and its signal (‑0.340) are negative, and the MACD histogram is shrinking, confirming bearish momentum. The RSI of 17.4 places the security in oversold territory, suggesting a potential short‑term bounce but not enough to offset the broader weakness. The price sits just above the identified support at $12.01 and faces resistance near $13.25, giving a narrow trading range. Volatility over the past 30 days is 12.3%, modestly elevated for an ETF of this size, while volume has been trending upward to about 6.7k shares daily. The fund’s beta of 0.91 indicates slightly lower systematic risk than the market, yet the fear‑greed index reads “Extreme Greed” (91.25), implying investor appetite for high‑yield assets despite recent losses.
On the performance side, YTD returns are ‑18.7% and the maximum historical drawdown exceeds ‑52%, reflecting the steep price decline since inception in December 2025. The expense ratio of 1.38% is high for a pass‑through fund and erodes the already thin net yield. Weekly distributions remain generous, with the latest payout of $0.1429 per share translating to an annualized distribution rate above 54%, but the sustainability of such yields is questionable given the fund’s small asset base of only $2.5 million. Liquidity is a concern; average daily volume hovers around 4.7k shares and market capitalisation is effectively zero, making sizable trades costly. Tracking error is reported as zero, so the fund is closely following its underlying strategy, but concentration in high‑yield securities raises sector‑specific risk. Overall, the combination of steep price weakness, high costs, limited liquidity and concentration risk outweighs the attractive yield, suggesting a defensive stance.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price below all major SMAs indicating bearish trend
  • Oversold RSI but limited upside near support
  • High expense ratio eroding net return

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive weekly distribution yield
  • Zero tracking error keeping strategy on target
  • Persistently high volatility and drawdown

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained negative YTD performance and large drawdown
  • Liquidity constraints due to tiny asset base
  • Elevated sector concentration risk in high‑yield assets

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio1.38%
AUM$2.5M
Inception Date2025-12-15
Avg Daily Volume4,720
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI17.4
Support$12.01
Resistance$13.25
MA 20$12.76
MA 50$13.45
MA 200$16.61
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.25

Risk Assessment

Beta0.91
Volatility12.25%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.