XCNY:NASDAQState Street SPDR S&P Emerging Markets ex-China ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-11 - not real-time
$33.03
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The ETF is trading at $33.03, comfortably above its 20‑day ($31.83), 50‑day ($30.21) and 200‑day ($28.54) simple moving averages, signaling a robust bullish trend. MACD is in bullish territory (line $0.74 vs signal $0.65) and the RSI sits at 67.9, indicating strong momentum but not yet overbought. Price is hovering just below the nearest resistance at $33.16, with a solid support floor near $30.89, while 30‑day volatility is elevated at 22.8% and beta is modest at 0.92, suggesting the fund moves slightly less than the broader market.
Fund fundamentals are attractive: a dividend yield of 2.41%, a low expense ratio of 0.19%, and zero tracking error. However, the fund is very small (≈$9.4 M) with a decreasing volume trend and an average daily volume well under 200 shares, creating a high liquidity risk. The market sentiment is extremely bullish, reflected by a Fear & Greed index of 90.73 (Extreme Greed), while the max drawdown of ‑11.9% remains moderate.
Fund fundamentals are attractive: a dividend yield of 2.41%, a low expense ratio of 0.19%, and zero tracking error. However, the fund is very small (≈$9.4 M) with a decreasing volume trend and an average daily volume well under 200 shares, creating a high liquidity risk. The market sentiment is extremely bullish, reflected by a Fear & Greed index of 90.73 (Extreme Greed), while the max drawdown of ‑11.9% remains moderate.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price above all major SMAs and bullish MACD
- Near‑term resistance at $33.16 may cap upside
- Decreasing volume suggests caution
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong dividend yield (2.41%) and low expense ratio (0.19%)
- Macro shift away from China supports ex‑China exposure
- Bullish technical backdrop with solid support at $30.89
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Emerging‑market growth potential offsets size and liquidity constraints
- Moderate currency exposure and beta below 1 limit market volatility
- Fund’s tiny asset base may affect survivability and tracking precision
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.19%
AUM$9.4M
Inception Date2024-09-04
Avg Daily Volume170
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield2.41%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI67.9
Support$30.89
Resistance$33.16
MA 20$31.83
MA 50$30.21
MA 200$28.54
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.73
Risk Assessment
Beta0.92
Volatility22.79%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.