XCH:NASDAQXCHG Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-31 - not real-time
$3.55
Latest Price
9/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
XCHG Limited trades at $3.55, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 70.2%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 21.6 (oversold) with MACD reading bullish. The recent range runs from support at $3.51 up to resistance at $11.40.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. Revenue is contracting at 42.6% on a -129.5% profit margin.
Risk scores 9 out of 10, which is high for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 118.1%, a beta of 1.82 and a maximum drawdown of 91.0%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to sell, carrying 5/10 conviction.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. Revenue is contracting at 42.6% on a -129.5% profit margin.
Risk scores 9 out of 10, which is high for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 118.1%, a beta of 1.82 and a maximum drawdown of 91.0%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to sell, carrying 5/10 conviction.
Top Market Events
HAMBURG, Germany and AUSTIN, Texas, Aug. 19, 2026 GLOBE NEWSWIRE -- XCHG Limited "XCharge" or the "Company" Nasdaq: XCH...tradingkey10dXCHG Ltd Stock XCH Moved Up by 2064.tradingkey5dXCHG Ltd Stock XCH Moved Down by 7.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- RSI at 21.6 signals oversold conditions
- Trading below the 200-day average of 18.26
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- RSI at 21.6 signals oversold conditions
- Trading below the 200-day average of 18.26
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Negative profit margin of -129.5%
- Negative return on equity of -137.2%
- Revenue contracting at -42.6%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-42.60%
Profit Margin-129.49%
P/E Ratio-118.3
ROE-137.21%
ROA-40.85%
Debt/Equity45.73
P/B Ratio14.4
Op. Cash Flow$-7526683
Free Cash Flow$1.4M
Industry P/E29.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI21.6
Support$3.51
Resistance$11.40
MA 20$5.19
MA 50$9.94
MA 200$18.26
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.79
Valuation
Fair Value$4.76
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.82
Volatility118.09%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.