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WWD:NASDAQWoodward, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-02 - not real-time

$360.75

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Woodward, Inc. posted a 21% year‑over‑year revenue surge and a 43% jump in adjusted EPS, beating analyst expectations and earning a Zacks Rank 1 Strong Buy. Revenue growth and expanding margins underpin a compelling growth narrative, further reinforced by its recent migration into growth‑focused Russell indices and recognition on TIME’s America’s Best Companies list. However, the stock trades at a price‑to‑earnings multiple near 40, well above the aerospace & defense industry average, and the discounted cash‑flow model suggests a fair value around $80, indicating a substantial overvaluation premium. Technical indicators show a bearish MACD histogram and an RSI in the low‑30s, suggesting short‑term momentum weakness despite a broader bullish trend direction. The recent 9% intra‑day decline after earnings reflects market skepticism about the lofty price level. With a beta above 1 and 30‑day volatility approaching 38%, price swings are pronounced, yet the company’s low payout ratio and solid free cash flow support dividend sustainability. The combination of strong fundamentals, growth‑oriented market perception, and elevated valuation creates a nuanced risk‑reward profile that favors medium‑ to long‑term positioning while cautioning against near‑term entry.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD divergence and low RSI signaling downside pressure
  • Current price significantly above DCF fair value
  • Recent 9% price drop reflecting market re‑pricing

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Robust 21% revenue growth and margin expansion
  • Strong earnings beat and upgrade to Strong Buy
  • Inclusion in growth‑focused indices supporting demand outlook

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained aerospace and industrial demand fundamentals
  • Low dividend payout ratio ensuring cash‑flow flexibility
  • Recognition for ESG performance and employee satisfaction bolstering brand resilience

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth21.20%
Profit Margin13.17%
P/E Ratio40.2
ROE22.34%
ROA8.62%
Debt/Equity55.94
P/B Ratio8.5
Op. Cash Flow$585.3M
Free Cash Flow$187.2M
Industry P/E30.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI33.9
Support$343.65
Resistance$428.59
MA 20$399.38
MA 50$392.91
MA 200$348.17
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88

Valuation

Fair Value$80.80
Target Price$449.00
Upside/Downside24.46%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.35%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.17
Volatility37.99%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.