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WWD:NASDAQWoodward, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-21 - not real-time

$430.08

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Woodward, Inc. (WWD) is trading at $430.08, just shy of its 52‑week high of $445.29 and well above its 20‑day SMA of $372.90, indicating strong recent momentum. Technicals are bullish with a MACD histogram of +8.79 and a bullish signal line, while the RSI sits at 71.7, suggesting the stock is approaching overbought territory. Volume is on an increasing trend, supporting the price advance, and the nearest support sits near $337, giving a modest downside cushion. On the valuation side, the trailing P/E of 51.6 far exceeds the industry average of 31.4 and the DCF‑derived fair value of $97.28, implying the market is pricing in significant growth expectations. Revenue growth of 23.4% and solid operating margins (15.4%) underscore the company’s growth narrative, though the forward EPS of $10.76 still leaves the forward P/E elevated at ~40.
The dividend is modest at 0.3% with a low payout ratio of 14%, indicating sustainability, while the balance sheet shows $498 M cash against $1.17 B debt (debt‑to‑equity 46%). Recent media buzz – highlighted by Jim Cramer’s endorsement and inclusion in hedge‑fund‑favored aerospace picks – adds a sentiment boost, but the limited upside of ~1.6% versus the fair‑value gap tempers enthusiasm. Investors should weigh the strong short‑term technical set‑up against the high valuation and modest long‑term upside.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and price above short‑term SMAs
  • RSI nearing overbought levels
  • Proximity to resistance at $445.29

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and operating margins
  • Elevated P/E relative to industry peers
  • Sustainable but low dividend yield

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Fundamental growth drivers in aerospace & defense
  • Significant valuation premium versus DCF fair value
  • Positive institutional sentiment and media endorsement

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth23.40%
Profit Margin12.85%
P/E Ratio51.6
ROE21.13%
ROA8.01%
Debt/Equity46.16
P/B Ratio10.1
Op. Cash Flow$564.2M
Free Cash Flow$190.5M
Industry P/E31.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI71.7
Support$337.06
Resistance$445.29
MA 20$372.90
MA 50$372.27
MA 200$324.59
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Valuation

Fair Value$97.28
Target Price$437.09
Upside/Downside1.63%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.30%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.23
Volatility41.20%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.