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WTRG:NYSEEssential Utilities, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-04 - not real-time

$37.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: The short‑term moving average sits below the medium‑term average, confirming a bearish bias, while the MACD histogram shows a modest bullish tilt that has not yet overcome the overall downtrend. The RSI hovers in the neutral zone, suggesting limited upside momentum, and the price is trading near a key support level with resistance just above.
Fundamental backdrop: The company delivers a solid dividend yield that outpaces many peers, supported by a payout ratio below the typical utility threshold, yet free cash flow is negative and leverage is high, raising sustainability concerns. Valuation metrics point to a price that exceeds the discounted cash‑flow estimate, although earnings multiples are modest relative to the sector. Recent earnings missed consensus EPS forecasts despite a revenue beat, prompting analysts to maintain a neutral stance. Overall, the defensive nature of the regulated utility business and the attractive dividend provide a cushion, but the combination of overvaluation signals and balance‑sheet strain suggests a cautious, hold‑or‑sell‑on‑short‑term approach.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Recent earnings miss and muted EPS guidance
  • Bearish technical positioning
  • High valuation relative to DCF

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive dividend yield
  • Stable regulated revenue base
  • Elevated leverage and negative free cash flow

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Defensive utility sector with low beta
  • Long‑term dividend income potential
  • Regulated revenue streams that support cash flow over time

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth10.00%
Profit Margin21.82%
P/E Ratio18.9
ROE8.34%
ROA2.90%
Debt/Equity122.67
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash Flow$976.3M
Free Cash Flow$-653149632
Industry P/E21.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI43.9
Support$36.11
Resistance$38.14
MA 20$37.21
MA 50$38.69
MA 200$39.03
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.75

Valuation

Fair Value$19.05
Target Price$40.80
Upside/Downside10.27%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.70%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.33
Volatility20.63%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.