WTM:NYSEWhite Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-11 - not real-time
$2,128.40
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
White Mountains Insurance Group (WTM) trades at a strikingly low PE of 5.3 versus an industry average of 16.4, and its price‑to‑book ratio sits just under 1, suggesting a deep value position. The stock is currently priced at $2,128, below its recent book value of $2,170 and the 20‑day SMA of $2,231, yet the 30‑day volatility of 23.9% and a beta of only 0.35 indicate modest price swings and low market sensitivity. Technical signals are mixed: a bullish trend and rising volume support upside, but a bearish MACD and an RSI around 39 point to lingering downside pressure. The dividend yield of 5% with a minuscule payout ratio (0.25%) makes the payout highly sustainable.
Revenue has slipped 10.8% YoY and operating margins are razor‑thin, while net debt is modest relative to cash, leaving the company net cash‑rich. Recent material news notes a 1% decline in book value and an acquisition by White Mountains Partners, hinting at strategic expansion but also adding integration risk. Given the DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $1,647, the market appears to price in a premium, but the combination of cheap relative multiples and strong balance‑sheet liquidity keeps the stock attractive for value‑oriented investors.
Revenue has slipped 10.8% YoY and operating margins are razor‑thin, while net debt is modest relative to cash, leaving the company net cash‑rich. Recent material news notes a 1% decline in book value and an acquisition by White Mountains Partners, hinting at strategic expansion but also adding integration risk. Given the DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $1,647, the market appears to price in a premium, but the combination of cheap relative multiples and strong balance‑sheet liquidity keeps the stock attractive for value‑oriented investors.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price near support and oversold RSI
- Strong cash position and sustainable dividend
- Increasing volume indicating buying interest
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Cheap valuation multiples versus peers
- Revenue decline and thin operating margins
- Potential upside from strategic acquisition
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value far below current price
- High leverage relative to equity
- Limited growth prospects in core insurance lines
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-10.80%
Profit Margin37.02%
P/E Ratio5.3
ROE19.67%
ROA3.32%
Debt/Equity13.52
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash Flow$621.2M
Free Cash Flow$246.3M
Industry P/E16.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI38.7
Support$2,050.01
Resistance$2,333.00
MA 20$2,231.07
MA 50$2,215.40
MA 200$2,007.69
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.73
Valuation
Fair Value$1,646.91
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.05%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.35
Volatility23.88%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.