WTFCN:NASDAQWintrust Financial Corporation - Depositary Shares, Each Representing a 1/1,000th Interest in a Share of 7.875% Fixed-Rate Reset Non-Cumulative Perpetual Prefer Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-22 - not real-time
$26.11
Latest Price
3/10Risk
Risk Level: Low
Executive Summary
Wintrust Financial is trading just above its near‑term support of $25.85, with the price at $26.11 sitting slightly under the 20‑day (26.14) and 50‑day (26.24) SMAs, signaling a modest bearish bias. The RSI of 47.4 suggests momentum is neutral, while the MACD line has crossed above its signal, offering a faint bullish cue. Volume has been trending down, and the stock’s beta of 0.13 points to very low market‑related volatility, reinforced by a 30‑day volatility of just over 5% and a modest max drawdown of 6%. Fundamentally, the company posted a record six‑month net income of $461.1 million (≈$6.52 EPS), delivering a 10% revenue growth year‑over‑year and robust operating (46%) and profit (33%) margins. Its dividend yield of 8.67% (2.26 per share) is exceptionally high, yet the implied payout ratio—based on the reported earnings—is well below 50%, indicating sustainability. The price‑to‑book ratio of 0.26 versus a book value of $102 per share underscores a deep valuation discount, while cash on hand exceeds debt, providing a solid balance‑sheet cushion. Recent news of a record net income and the acquisition of Northern Trust’s guardianship services further bolsters the growth narrative, positioning Wintrust as a potentially attractive dividend‑play with upside if the price can break above the $26.48 resistance level.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support with bearish SMA alignment
- Bullish MACD crossover offering short‑term upside
- High dividend yield providing income cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong earnings growth and record net income
- Deep valuation discount (P/B ~0.26)
- Sustainable high dividend supporting total return
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Low beta and volatility indicating defensive profile
- Robust balance sheet with cash exceeding debt
- Strategic expansion via acquisition of guardianship services
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth10.40%
Profit Margin32.63%
ROE12.21%
ROA1.25%
P/B Ratio0.3
Industry P/E17.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI47.4
Support$25.85
Resistance$26.48
MA 20$26.14
MA 50$26.24
MA 200$26.30
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.16
Valuation
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield8.67%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.13
Volatility5.26%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.