WTFCN:NASDAQWintrust Financial Corporation - Depositary Shares, Each Representing a 1/1,000th Interest in a Share of 7.875% Fixed-Rate Reset Non-Cumulative Perpetual Prefer Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-11 - not real-time
$26.45
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Wintrust Financial posted double‑digit revenue growth and beat profit expectations in the latest quarter, while also announcing a fresh cash dividend and a special dividend on its preferred shares. The market responded positively, with the stock trading near the upper end of its recent range. Technical indicators show the 20‑day moving average sitting just above the 50‑day average, a bullish MACD crossover, and an RSI in the upper‑mid range, suggesting modest upside momentum. Support sits just below the current price and resistance is modestly higher, with volume remaining stable. Fundamentally, the company trades at a very low price‑to‑book multiple and offers an unusually high dividend yield, while maintaining low beta and moderate 30‑day volatility. The prevailing “Extreme Greed” sentiment in the broader market adds a tailwind to the stock.
Overall, the combination of strong earnings beat, generous dividend policy, attractive valuation relative to book, and low systematic risk points to an undervalued, income‑focused opportunity, though regulatory headwinds typical for regional banks and modest liquidity warrant a cautious stance.
Overall, the combination of strong earnings beat, generous dividend policy, attractive valuation relative to book, and low systematic risk points to an undervalued, income‑focused opportunity, though regulatory headwinds typical for regional banks and modest liquidity warrant a cautious stance.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD but price near resistance
- Stable volume and low beta
- Recent earnings beat supporting momentum
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued price‑to‑book ratio
- High and sustainable dividend yield
- Continued revenue growth trajectory
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Regulatory environment for regional banks
- Potential for modest capital appreciation
- Reliance on dividend income for total return
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth10.30%
Profit Margin32.03%
ROE12.34%
ROA1.25%
P/B Ratio0.3
Industry P/E16.4
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI58.3
Support$25.87
Resistance$26.60
MA 20$26.28
MA 50$26.24
MA 200$26.40
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index90.73
Valuation
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield8.54%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.16
Volatility6.26%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.