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WTFCN:NASDAQWintrust Financial Corporation - Depositary Shares, Each Representing a 1/1,000th Interest in a Share of 7.875% Fixed-Rate Reset Non-Cumulative Perpetual Prefer Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-11 - not real-time

$26.45

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Wintrust Financial posted double‑digit revenue growth and beat profit expectations in the latest quarter, while also announcing a fresh cash dividend and a special dividend on its preferred shares. The market responded positively, with the stock trading near the upper end of its recent range. Technical indicators show the 20‑day moving average sitting just above the 50‑day average, a bullish MACD crossover, and an RSI in the upper‑mid range, suggesting modest upside momentum. Support sits just below the current price and resistance is modestly higher, with volume remaining stable. Fundamentally, the company trades at a very low price‑to‑book multiple and offers an unusually high dividend yield, while maintaining low beta and moderate 30‑day volatility. The prevailing “Extreme Greed” sentiment in the broader market adds a tailwind to the stock.
Overall, the combination of strong earnings beat, generous dividend policy, attractive valuation relative to book, and low systematic risk points to an undervalued, income‑focused opportunity, though regulatory headwinds typical for regional banks and modest liquidity warrant a cautious stance.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD but price near resistance
  • Stable volume and low beta
  • Recent earnings beat supporting momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued price‑to‑book ratio
  • High and sustainable dividend yield
  • Continued revenue growth trajectory

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Regulatory environment for regional banks
  • Potential for modest capital appreciation
  • Reliance on dividend income for total return

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth10.30%
Profit Margin32.03%
ROE12.34%
ROA1.25%
P/B Ratio0.3
Industry P/E16.4

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI58.3
Support$25.87
Resistance$26.60
MA 20$26.28
MA 50$26.24
MA 200$26.40
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index90.73

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield8.54%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.16
Volatility6.26%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.