WTC:ASXWisetech Global Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-17 - not real-time
A$36.00
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
WiseTech Global (WTC) is trading around AUD 36, roughly 71% below its 52‑week high and well above the DCF‑derived fair value of AUD 29, implying a material downside despite the Extreme Greed market sentiment. The stock carries a lofty PE of 51 versus an industry average of 33, a high debt‑to‑equity of 133% and a beta of only 0.4, indicating low market‑beta but significant balance‑sheet risk. Technicals show a bearish trend (price below the 200‑day SMA of 53.8) with decreasing volume and high 30‑day volatility (~91%), yet the MACD histogram is positive, hinting at short‑term bullish momentum. Compounding the picture, recent headlines flag serious founder‑related governance allegations, adding a layer of non‑financial risk to an already stressed valuation.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical trend and decreasing volume
- Governance allegations increasing uncertainty
- High volatility and proximity to recent support
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth and high margins
- Improving forward PE around 25
- Elevated debt levels limiting upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Secular demand for logistics software
- Sustained high gross margin and operating efficiency
- Potential resolution of governance issues and debt reduction
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth76.40%
Profit Margin15.18%
P/E Ratio51.4
ROE9.62%
ROA6.69%
Debt/Equity132.94
P/B Ratio4.6
Op. Cash FlowA$389.9M
Free Cash FlowA$333.0M
Industry P/E33.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI53.0
SupportA$28.76
ResistanceA$39.39
MA 20A$33.45
MA 50A$36.38
MA 200A$53.78
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.55
Valuation
Fair ValueA$29.22
Target PriceA$69.42
Upside/Downside92.83%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.40
Volatility90.96%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.