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WRT1V:OMXHEXWartsila Oyj Abp Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-27 - not real-time

€36.76

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading comfortably above its 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages and is also above the 200‑day average, confirming a bullish trend. MACD shows a bullish crossover with a positive histogram, while the RSI sits in the mid‑50s, indicating moderate upward momentum. The price is holding above a clear support level near €33.4 and is approaching a resistance zone around €37.8, suggesting limited upside in the near term. Volume has been decreasing, and 30‑day volatility is high, which could lead to sharper price swings despite a beta below one, implying lower systematic risk. The discounted cash flow model values the company well below the current market price, and the price‑to‑earnings multiple exceeds both the forward PE and the industry average, pointing to an overvalued market valuation.
Fundamentally, revenue growth is flat to slightly negative, but the company maintains healthy gross and operating margins, a strong return on equity, and robust cash generation. Debt is modest relative to cash, and the dividend payout ratio under 50% supports dividend sustainability. While the valuation appears stretched, the firm’s strategic positioning in decarbonisation, energy storage and hybrid marine solutions offers a compelling medium‑ to long‑term growth narrative.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near short‑term resistance
  • Bullish technical backdrop but decreasing volume
  • Overvalued relative to DCF

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation premium to peers
  • Strong cash flow and dividend sustainability
  • Flat revenue growth and high volatility

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic exposure to clean‑energy and hybrid marine markets
  • Solid balance sheet with low leverage
  • Potential valuation correction and attractive dividend yield

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-0.30%
Profit Margin9.40%
P/E Ratio33.4
ROE27.26%
ROA6.32%
Debt/Equity22.80
P/B Ratio9.1
Op. Cash Flow€1.4B
Free Cash Flow€1.1B
Industry P/E30.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI56.8
Support€33.38
Resistance€37.75
MA 20€35.44
MA 50€34.75
MA 200€30.42
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.2

Valuation

Fair Value€27.65
Target Price€31.82
Upside/Downside-13.44%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.47%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.64
Volatility44.86%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.