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WOR:ASXWorley Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time

A$12.73

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Worley Limited is trading at $12.73, just above its 20‑day SMA of $12.72 and comfortably above the 50‑day SMA of $12.18, indicating short‑term price stability. The RSI sits at 55, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram remains negative, hinting at a modest bearish bias. Volume is on an upward trend, and the stock holds a support level near $11.79 with resistance around $13.15, giving a modest upside potential of roughly 7% based on current pricing. Valuation metrics are mixed: the trailing P/E of 19.3 is below the industry average of 21.3, yet the DCF‑derived fair value of $9.47 is well under the market price, flagging a potential overvaluation relative to intrinsic estimates. The dividend yield of 3.93% is attractive, though the payout ratio of 76% raises questions about long‑term sustainability despite solid free cash flow of $0.5 bn.
The latest material news – a $300 million on‑market buyback and announced medium‑term growth plans, plus new APA and AEP contracts supporting the energy‑transition narrative – provide a fresh catalyst that could bolster sentiment and support the stock near its current levels. Combined with a low beta of 0.46 and a diversified global footprint, the company appears positioned to benefit from the shift toward low‑carbon services, though its modest profitability margins and net‑debt position warrant a cautious outlook.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Recent $300 M buyback boosting investor confidence
  • Increasing trading volume indicating momentum
  • Price above key support levels with limited downside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Medium‑term growth plans focused on energy‑transition services
  • Attractive dividend yield relative to peers
  • Valuation advantage versus industry P/E

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Exposure to long‑term low‑carbon infrastructure demand
  • Sustainable cash flow but elevated net‑debt levels
  • Moderate profitability margins limiting upside

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-1.60%
Profit Margin3.10%
P/E Ratio19.3
ROE6.45%
ROA3.46%
Debt/Equity47.31
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash FlowA$606.0M
Free Cash FlowA$497.4M
Industry P/E21.3

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI54.9
SupportA$11.79
ResistanceA$13.15
MA 20A$12.72
MA 50A$12.18
MA 200A$12.87
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.41

Valuation

Fair ValueA$9.47
Target PriceA$13.64
Upside/Downside7.13%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.93%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.46
Volatility21.88%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.