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WHF:NASDAQWhiteHorse Finance, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-27 - not real-time

$6.54

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

WhiteHorse Finance is trading at roughly $6.54, dramatically below its discounted cash‑flow fair value of about $32.40, suggesting a deep valuation gap. The stock’s forward price‑to‑earnings of 6.6 is well under the industry average PE of 18, reinforcing the value narrative. However, revenue has contracted 15.6% year‑over‑year and free cash flow is negative, while the company carries a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 120%, raising concerns about financial sustainability. The dividend yield appears attractive at 15.2%, but the payout ratio exceeds 300%, indicating the dividend is likely unsustainable. Operating cash flow remains robust at $112.5 M, offsetting some liquidity worries, yet the high leverage and recent 30‑day volatility of over 20% add to the risk profile.
Technically, the price sits below its 20‑day (6.51), 50‑day (6.66) and 200‑day (6.99) moving averages, the trend is flagged as bearish, and volume is on a decreasing trajectory, all pointing to short‑term pressure. RSI hovers near 50 and the MACD histogram has turned modestly positive, offering a faint bullish hint but not enough to overturn the prevailing downside bias. The combination of deep undervaluation, strained fundamentals, and weak technical momentum frames a cautious outlook.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price below all major moving averages
  • decreasing trading volume
  • unsustainable dividend payout

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • significant undervaluation versus DCF fair value
  • attractive forward PE relative to peers
  • strong operating cash flow despite free cash flow deficit

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • high leverage and potential credit risk
  • persistent valuation discount
  • uncertain dividend sustainability

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-15.60%
Profit Margin13.46%
P/E Ratio16.0
ROE3.53%
ROA4.62%
Debt/Equity129.48
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash Flow$112.5M
Free Cash Flow$-22383000
Industry P/E18.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI50.0
Support$6.32
Resistance$6.85
MA 20$6.51
MA 50$6.66
MA 200$7.00
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.09

Valuation

Fair Value$32.40
Target Price$7.50
Upside/Downside14.68%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield15.22%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.29
Volatility20.34%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.