WGO:NYSEWinnebago Industries, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-21 - not real-time
$28.67
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Winnebago Industries is trading at $28.67, just above the identified support of $27.29 and well below its 20‑day SMA of $28.93, 50‑day SMA of $30.53, and 200‑day SMA of $36.22, signaling a short‑term bearish price bias. The MACD histogram has turned positive (0.12) while the line remains below the signal, suggesting a tentative bullish reversal, and the RSI sits at 46, indicating no overbought pressure. Volatility is elevated at 36.8% over the past 30 days and beta hovers around 1.0, implying market‑aligned price swings. However, the DCF‑derived fair value of $49.32 provides roughly a 44% upside potential, and the stock trades at a low price‑to‑book of 0.65 and price‑to‑sales of 0.28, underscoring significant value attributes.
Fundamentally, the company posts modest revenue growth of 6% with thin margins (gross 13%, operating 1.8%, profit 1.4%) and a low ROE of 3.4%, while carrying a heavy debt load ($478 M) versus cash ($47 M) and a high payout ratio of 94%, raising questions about dividend sustainability. Nevertheless, the forward PE of 9.7 and a dividend yield of 4.88% are attractive in a low‑interest‑rate environment, and analysts collectively rate the stock as a “buy” with a mean target price of $41.45, indicating upside beyond current levels.
Fundamentally, the company posts modest revenue growth of 6% with thin margins (gross 13%, operating 1.8%, profit 1.4%) and a low ROE of 3.4%, while carrying a heavy debt load ($478 M) versus cash ($47 M) and a high payout ratio of 94%, raising questions about dividend sustainability. Nevertheless, the forward PE of 9.7 and a dividend yield of 4.88% are attractive in a low‑interest‑rate environment, and analysts collectively rate the stock as a “buy” with a mean target price of $41.45, indicating upside beyond current levels.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support with bullish MACD histogram
- Substantial upside vs DCF fair value (~44%)
- Attractive dividend yield despite sustainability concerns
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Forward PE compression to 9.7 indicating earnings improvement
- Low valuation multiples (P/B 0.65, P/S 0.28)
- Potential recovery in RV demand as consumer leisure spending rebounds
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value gap suggests long‑term price appreciation
- Strong brand presence in the growing outdoor recreation market
- Macro trend toward domestic travel and mobile lifestyles
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth6.00%
Profit Margin1.43%
P/E Ratio19.5
ROE3.39%
ROA2.23%
Debt/Equity38.72
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash Flow$156.7M
Free Cash Flow$107.3M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI46.1
Support$27.29
Resistance$31.04
MA 20$28.93
MA 50$30.53
MA 200$36.22
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.46
Valuation
Fair Value$49.32
Target Price$41.45
Upside/Downside44.59%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.88%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.02
Volatility36.85%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.