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WGO:NYSEWinnebago Industries, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-21 - not real-time

$28.67

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Winnebago Industries is trading at $28.67, just above the identified support of $27.29 and well below its 20‑day SMA of $28.93, 50‑day SMA of $30.53, and 200‑day SMA of $36.22, signaling a short‑term bearish price bias. The MACD histogram has turned positive (0.12) while the line remains below the signal, suggesting a tentative bullish reversal, and the RSI sits at 46, indicating no overbought pressure. Volatility is elevated at 36.8% over the past 30 days and beta hovers around 1.0, implying market‑aligned price swings. However, the DCF‑derived fair value of $49.32 provides roughly a 44% upside potential, and the stock trades at a low price‑to‑book of 0.65 and price‑to‑sales of 0.28, underscoring significant value attributes.
Fundamentally, the company posts modest revenue growth of 6% with thin margins (gross 13%, operating 1.8%, profit 1.4%) and a low ROE of 3.4%, while carrying a heavy debt load ($478 M) versus cash ($47 M) and a high payout ratio of 94%, raising questions about dividend sustainability. Nevertheless, the forward PE of 9.7 and a dividend yield of 4.88% are attractive in a low‑interest‑rate environment, and analysts collectively rate the stock as a “buy” with a mean target price of $41.45, indicating upside beyond current levels.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with bullish MACD histogram
  • Substantial upside vs DCF fair value (~44%)
  • Attractive dividend yield despite sustainability concerns

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Forward PE compression to 9.7 indicating earnings improvement
  • Low valuation multiples (P/B 0.65, P/S 0.28)
  • Potential recovery in RV demand as consumer leisure spending rebounds

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value gap suggests long‑term price appreciation
  • Strong brand presence in the growing outdoor recreation market
  • Macro trend toward domestic travel and mobile lifestyles

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth6.00%
Profit Margin1.43%
P/E Ratio19.5
ROE3.39%
ROA2.23%
Debt/Equity38.72
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash Flow$156.7M
Free Cash Flow$107.3M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI46.1
Support$27.29
Resistance$31.04
MA 20$28.93
MA 50$30.53
MA 200$36.22
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Valuation

Fair Value$49.32
Target Price$41.45
Upside/Downside44.59%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.88%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.02
Volatility36.85%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.