WES:ASXWesfarmers Limited analysis
Data as of Oct 14, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- A$77.72
- Risk: low
- 3/10Low risk
Summary
Wesfarmers Limited is priced at AUD 77.72 and its moving averages line up in bearish order, the shorter trailing the longer. Over a rolling month the price has gained 1.1%. RSI sits at 56.7, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bullish. Price has been bracketed by support at AUD 72.08 and resistance at AUD 78.58.
The shares look overvalued at 30.5 times earnings, though no sector average was available for comparison. Revenue is growing at 3.8% on a 6.1% profit margin. The 2.85% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 3/10, putting it in low territory. With 30-day volatility of 16.9%, a beta of 0.30 and a maximum drawdown of 24.4%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 91 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.
The shares look overvalued at 30.5 times earnings, though no sector average was available for comparison. Revenue is growing at 3.8% on a 6.1% profit margin. The 2.85% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 3/10, putting it in low territory. With 30-day volatility of 16.9%, a beta of 0.30 and a maximum drawdown of 24.4%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 91 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.
Top market events
- Wesfarmers ASX:WES fiscal 2026 results met analyst expectations, with the retailer reporting stron
- Comparing Wesfarmers Ltd ASX: WES vs Telstra Ltd ASX: TLS shares for yield, value and performance—here’s my pick...
- Wesfarmers shares ASX: WES continued to regain lost ground in the final session of September, putting up a 3.
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence4/104 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 80.42
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence4/104 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 80.42
- MACD momentum is positive
Long term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E ratio of 30.5
- Return on equity of 33.5%
- Dividend yield of 2.85%
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth3.80%
Profit Margin6.08%
P/E Ratio30.5
ROE33.48%
ROA9.29%
Debt/Equity159.41
P/B Ratio11.1
Op. Cash FlowA$4.3B
Free Cash FlowA$3.6B
Technical analysis
TrendBearish
RSI56.7
SupportA$72.08
ResistanceA$78.58
MA 20A$75.45
MA 50A$78.48
MA 200A$80.42
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.3
Valuation
Fair ValueA$33.62
Target PriceA$76.17
Upside/Downside-2.00%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield2.85%
Risk assessment
Beta0.30
Volatility16.89%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.