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WEIR:LSEWeir Group PLC Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time

£2,278.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The Weir Group’s share price of 2,278 GBp sits well below its 20‑day (2,421 GBp) and 200‑day (2,866 GBp) moving averages, while the RSI of 31.5 signals oversold conditions and the MACD remains in a bearish configuration. Technical pressure is evident, with price hovering just above the identified support at 2,254 GBp and a sizable resistance barrier near 2,570 GBp. Despite this, the latest Q1 2026 update showed a modest 4% year‑on‑year order growth and analysts have lifted the median target to 3,300 GBp, implying a potential upside of over 40% from current levels. The DCF‑derived fair value of roughly 1,034 GBp suggests the market is pricing in significant premium, flagging the stock as overvalued on a fundamental basis. The company delivers a 1.83% dividend yield with a comfortable 44% payout ratio, supported by solid operating cash flow and a free cash flow conversion of about 12% of revenue. Overall, while short‑term price dynamics are bearish, the underlying earnings momentum, attractive dividend profile, and analyst optimism provide a compelling case for a medium‑term buying stance.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical indicators (RSI, MACD, price below SMAs)
  • Proximity to near‑term support at 2,254 GBp
  • Recent 15% price drop creating short‑term uncertainty

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst median price target of 3,300 GBp indicating >40% upside
  • Quarterly order growth of 4% and improving forward PE to 15.3x
  • Sustainable dividend yield of 1.83% with a 44% payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong cash generation and moderate leverage (debt‑to‑equity ~93%)
  • Exposure to global mining and industrial sectors with digital services upside
  • Valuation premium relative to DCF fair value suggesting price correction risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth5.50%
Profit Margin9.63%
P/E Ratio24.0
ROE13.14%
ROA6.23%
Debt/Equity93.08
P/B Ratio3.1
Op. Cash Flow£385.4M
Free Cash Flow£239.7M
Industry P/E30.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI31.5
Support£2,254.00
Resistance£2,570.00
MA 20£2,421.38
MA 50£2,677.27
MA 200£2,866.03
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index86.71

Valuation

Fair Value£1,034.18
Target Price£3,264.52
Upside/Downside43.31%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.83%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.50
Volatility33.27%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.