WDS:ASXWoodside Energy Group Ltd Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time
A$31.67
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Woodside Energy Group trades near its discounted cash‑flow estimate and enjoys a P/E ratio well below the sector average, suggesting a modest valuation cushion. Technical signals are mixed – the MACD histogram is positive and the signal line is bullish, while the price sits just under the 20‑day SMA and above the 200‑day SMA, indicating a neutral to mildly positive short‑term outlook. Fundamentally, the company delivers a high dividend yield exceeding five percent, but a payout ratio approaching three‑quarters and a recent negative free‑cash‑flow raise questions about long‑term sustainability. Recent earnings highlighted progress on the Scarborough and Trion projects, reinforcing the growth narrative amid a sector that remains volatile and sensitive to regulatory shifts.
Overall, Woodside presents a blend of value and growth attributes: attractive earnings multiples, solid cash‑flow generation from operating activities, and a dividend that appeals to income‑focused investors, yet it faces medium‑to‑high sector and regulatory risks as the energy transition accelerates.
Overall, Woodside presents a blend of value and growth attributes: attractive earnings multiples, solid cash‑flow generation from operating activities, and a dividend that appeals to income‑focused investors, yet it faces medium‑to‑high sector and regulatory risks as the energy transition accelerates.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD histogram with a neutral RSI
- Price positioned near immediate support level
- High dividend yield offering short‑term income
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- P/E substantially below industry average
- Project pipeline progressing, especially Scarborough and Trion
- Attractive dividend yield enhancing total return
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Exposure to LNG demand but growing regulatory and carbon‑pricing pressures
- Diversification into lower‑carbon initiatives
- Dividend sustainability concerns due to high payout ratio and negative free cash flow
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-11.10%
Profit Margin20.93%
P/E Ratio15.8
ROE7.20%
ROA2.60%
Debt/Equity34.44
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash FlowA$7.2B
Free Cash FlowA$-314375008
Industry P/E21.5
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI48.6
SupportA$29.96
ResistanceA$34.05
MA 20A$31.79
MA 50A$32.64
MA 200A$27.00
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.5
Valuation
Fair ValueA$30.37
Target PriceA$33.81
Upside/Downside6.77%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.19%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.09
Volatility31.83%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.