WDAY:NASDAQWorkday, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-10 - not real-time
$127.83
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Workday is trading well below its discounted cash‑flow estimate, offering roughly a 40% upside potential while the market sentiment is at an "Extreme Greed" level. Technical indicators show a bullish MACD histogram and a neutral RSI, suggesting short‑term momentum could turn positive despite the broader bearish trend. The stock’s beta is below one, indicating lower systematic risk, but 30‑day volatility is elevated, reflecting sizable price swings. Fundamentals remain solid: revenue is growing at double‑digit rates, margins are high, free cash flow is robust, and the forward PE is dramatically lower than the trailing PE, pointing to strong earnings acceleration ahead. Recent news of AI‑related optimism and a modest price rally have added short‑term enthusiasm, though analysts warn of potential AI disruption to the HCM model.
Overall, the combination of attractive valuation, solid cash generation, and favorable earnings outlook supports a constructive stance, while the elevated volatility and sector‑specific competitive pressures suggest investors should monitor momentum and macro sentiment closely.
Overall, the combination of attractive valuation, solid cash generation, and favorable earnings outlook supports a constructive stance, while the elevated volatility and sector‑specific competitive pressures suggest investors should monitor momentum and macro sentiment closely.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Positive MACD histogram indicating emerging bullish momentum
- Extreme greed market sentiment supporting upward price pressure
- Immediate upside to DCF fair value and recent AI‑related rally
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Sustained double‑digit revenue growth and expanding margins
- Strong free cash flow and low forward PE suggesting earnings acceleration
- Undervaluation relative to DCF and industry peers
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strategic positioning in cloud HCM and finance applications with AI integration potential
- Robust cash balance and manageable debt levels
- Long‑term market tailwinds for enterprise SaaS despite competitive pressures
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth14.50%
Profit Margin7.26%
P/E Ratio49.4
ROE8.23%
ROA3.55%
Debt/Equity48.96
P/B Ratio4.2
Op. Cash Flow$2.9B
Free Cash Flow$3.0B
Industry P/E38.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI51.7
Support$113.57
Resistance$133.36
MA 20$123.88
MA 50$129.28
MA 200$193.08
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.73
Valuation
Fair Value$300.46
Target Price$179.22
Upside/Downside40.20%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.62
Volatility59.88%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.