WDAY:NASDAQWorkday, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
$148.14
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Workday (WDAY) is trading at $148.14, which sits above its 20‑day SMA (≈$141.8) but well below the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, signaling a short‑term bounce within a longer‑term downtrend. The RSI of 46 is neutral, while the MACD histogram is positive (≈+3.6) and the MACD signal turned bullish, reinforced by an increasing volume trend. Volatility remains elevated at ~59% over the past 30 days and beta is just under 1, indicating the stock moves roughly in line with the market but with pronounced swings. The forward PE of 11.9 contrasts sharply with the trailing PE of 57, suggesting earnings are expected to accelerate sharply. Fundamental metrics show 14.5% revenue growth, a 75.7% gross margin and free cash flow exceeding $3 bn, supported by a cash pile of $5.4 bn.
Recent material news adds momentum: the reinstatement of co‑founder Anee as CEO and an explicit AI‑centric growth narrative have been highlighted in analyst and media commentary, driving a 7% price rally and positioning Workday among the S&P 500’s “highest upside” picks. Despite a high trailing PE, the DCF‑derived fair value of $292 implies ~24% upside from current levels, and the consensus analyst target median of $180 already reflects a ~21% premium. The company carries $3.8 bn of debt (Debt/Equity ≈ 49) but its strong operating cash flow and free cash flow provide ample coverage. With no dividend, the valuation leans toward growth, and the overall risk profile is elevated due to high volatility and a recent bearish trend, though liquidity remains solid.
Recent material news adds momentum: the reinstatement of co‑founder Anee as CEO and an explicit AI‑centric growth narrative have been highlighted in analyst and media commentary, driving a 7% price rally and positioning Workday among the S&P 500’s “highest upside” picks. Despite a high trailing PE, the DCF‑derived fair value of $292 implies ~24% upside from current levels, and the consensus analyst target median of $180 already reflects a ~21% premium. The company carries $3.8 bn of debt (Debt/Equity ≈ 49) but its strong operating cash flow and free cash flow provide ample coverage. With no dividend, the valuation leans toward growth, and the overall risk profile is elevated due to high volatility and a recent bearish trend, though liquidity remains solid.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Positive MACD histogram and increasing volume indicating short‑term momentum
- CEO reinstatement and AI strategy boost market sentiment
- Current price positioned near support with upside to resistance at $158.5
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- 14.5% revenue growth and high gross margins sustain earnings expansion
- Forward PE of 11.9 suggests a cheap valuation relative to growth prospects
- AI‑focused product roadmap and strong cash generation underpin earnings outlook
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value of $292 implies roughly 100% upside over current price
- Robust free cash flow and a cash pile that comfortably covers debt
- Enterprise SaaS model with high customer stickiness and expanding addressable market
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth14.50%
Profit Margin7.26%
P/E Ratio57.2
ROE8.23%
ROA3.55%
Debt/Equity48.96
P/B Ratio4.9
Op. Cash Flow$2.9B
Free Cash Flow$3.0B
Industry P/E36.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI46.0
Support$117.76
Resistance$158.50
MA 20$141.84
MA 50$172.97
MA 200$217.69
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.7
Valuation
Fair Value$292.29
Target Price$184.73
Upside/Downside24.70%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.92
Volatility59.16%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.