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WDAF:NASDAQWisdomTree Asia Defense Fund Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

$32.18

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

WDAF has posted an impressive YTD return of 18.99% despite being less than a year old, with the current price of $32.18 sitting just below the 20‑day SMA ($32.74) but above the 200‑day SMA ($32.34), suggesting a modest upward bias. The RSI of 44.3 indicates the fund is not yet overbought, while a bearish MACD (negative histogram) points to short‑term downside pressure. A beta of 1.24 and a 30‑day volatility of 37% signal higher market sensitivity, and the historical max drawdown of -20% underscores the potential for sharp declines. Investor sentiment is extremely bullish, reflected by a Fear & Greed Index of 89.86 (Extreme Greed).
Liquidity is a concern: today's volume of 3,500 shares is well below the 10‑day average of 10,100 and the 3‑month average of 18,644, indicating a decreasing volume trend for a fund with only $24.6 million in assets. The fund’s focus on Asian defense equities creates a high sector concentration risk, though tracking error is negligible (0) and the expense ratio is modest at 0.45%. Currency exposure to Asian markets adds a medium‑level risk. Overall, the fund blends strong recent performance with elevated volatility and concentration risks.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram suggesting near‑term downside
  • Decreasing trading volume and limited asset base
  • Price approaching the identified support level around $29.88

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong YTD performance of nearly 19%
  • Extreme greed sentiment indicating bullish market appetite
  • Potential upside from regional defense spending trends

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • High beta and volatility exposing the fund to market swings
  • Concentrated exposure to Asian defense sector
  • Moderate currency risk and limited dividend yield

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.45%
AUM$24.6M
Inception Date2025-09-10
Avg Daily Volume10,100
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI44.3
Support$29.88
Resistance$35.69
MA 20$32.74
MA 50$34.76
MA 200$32.34
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Risk Assessment

Beta1.24
Volatility37.17%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.