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WBD:NASDAQWarner Bros. Discovery, Inc. - Series A Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-10 - not real-time

$27.11

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Warner Bros. Discovery is trading around $27.11, just above the computed support level of $26.60 and below the near‑term resistance of $27.59. The stock sits in a neutral trend with the 20‑day SMA (≈27.16) barely under the 50‑day SMA (≈27.40) and the 200‑day SMA (≈23.10) providing long‑term support. Technical momentum shows a mid‑range RSI of ~46 and a bullish MACD histogram, suggesting limited downside pressure but no strong upside catalyst. Volume has been decreasing, indicating waning trader interest. Recent earnings disclosed a wider‑than‑expected Q1 loss, driven by a $2.8 billion termination fee to Netflix and flat revenue growth, with a negative profit margin of‑4.7% and a trailing EPS of –$0.70. Despite the earnings miss, the discounted cash‑flow model pins a fair value near $86, implying roughly a 9% upside from the current price. However, the forward PE of ~1,800×, a debt load of $32.5 billion versus $3.3 billion in cash, and a negative ROE underscore significant value‑risk tension. The company does not pay a dividend, so income‑focused investors have no yield cushion. In summary, the stock appears undervalued relative to its DCF estimate but is hampered by weak earnings, high leverage, and a modest technical setup.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering just above support with decreasing volume
  • Recent earnings miss and high termination fee impact
  • Neutral technical indicators (RSI, MACD) provide limited upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • DCF‑based upside of ~9% suggests price mispricing
  • Subscriber growth in HBO Max and potential synergies from the Paramount‑Skydance deal
  • Improving cash‑flow generation despite current losses

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • High debt‑to‑equity ratio limits financial flexibility
  • Media industry disruption and competitive pressure
  • Long‑term valuation upside tempered by structural earnings challenges

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-1.00%
Profit Margin-4.67%
P/E Ratio1807.3
ROE-4.96%
ROA1.39%
Debt/Equity96.32
P/B Ratio1.9
Op. Cash Flow$3.6B
Free Cash Flow$18.5B
Industry P/E17.2

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI46.3
Support$26.60
Resistance$27.59
MA 20$27.16
MA 50$27.40
MA 200$23.10
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.73

Valuation

Fair Value$86.40
Target Price$29.65
Upside/Downside9.35%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.85
Volatility9.02%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.