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WAMA:NASDAQWisdomTree US Adaptive Moving Average Fund Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-10 - not real-time

$25.89

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The ETF is trading at $25.89, just below the 52‑week high of $25.92 and the identified resistance level of $25.92. A 20‑day SMA of roughly $25.04 sits above the 200‑day SMA of $24.60, signaling a bullish alignment. The MACD line is positive at 0.37 and above its signal line, reinforcing upward momentum. Momentum is further supported by a bullish trend direction and a relatively stable volume profile. However, the RSI of 70.9 places the fund in the overbought zone, suggesting short‑term caution near the ceiling.
The fund launched on March 10 2026 and currently manages about $179 million in assets, indicating a nascent but growing platform. Its expense ratio of 0.32 % is modest for an actively managed strategy, and the tracking error is effectively zero, implying tight benchmark adherence. With a beta of 0.82 and a 30‑day volatility of roughly 13 %, the ETF exhibits lower market sensitivity than the broader index. The maximum drawdown of just under 6 % underscores a controlled risk profile. Liquidity is a concern, as daily volume averages only a few thousand shares, and the market cap is negligible, leading to a medium‑level liquidity risk. The prevailing “Extreme Greed” sentiment on the Fear & Greed Index (90.7) may fuel short‑term buying pressure but also heightens the risk of a rapid pull‑back. Overall, the blend of bullish technicals, low volatility, and disciplined cost structure makes the fund attractive for investors willing to tolerate modest liquidity constraints.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical indicators but price near resistance
  • RSI in overbought territory
  • Low daily trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained bullish trend and positive MACD
  • Low beta and modest volatility
  • Attractive expense ratio with zero tracking error

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Limited performance history since March 2026
  • Controlled drawdown and low market sensitivity
  • Liquidity constraints may persist

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.32%
AUM$178.8M
Inception Date2026-03-10
Avg Daily Volume6,640
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI70.9
Support$24.04
Resistance$25.92
MA 20$25.04
MA 200$24.60
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index90.73

Risk Assessment

Beta0.82
Volatility13.14%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.