WAB:NYSEWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time
$260.81
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies (WAB) is trading near its 20‑day SMA of ~263, comfortably above the 50‑day SMA of ~258, indicating a short‑term bullish bias, while the 200‑day SMA sits near 225, confirming a longer‑term uptrend. The RSI hovers around 49, suggesting neutral momentum, but the MACD histogram remains negative with the line below the signal, flagging bearish pressure. Volume has been increasing, supporting the price move, yet recent insider sales totaling over $43 million raise a caution flag. Valuation metrics are stretched: the market price of $260 is well above the DCF‑derived fair value of $112 and the trailing P/E of 37 exceeds the industry average of 30, pointing to an overvalued condition.
Fundamentally, WAB delivers solid revenue growth of 13% YoY, healthy operating margins (~19%), and strong free cash flow that comfortably covers its modest 0.47% dividend yield with a low 15% payout ratio, indicating dividend sustainability. The company’s beta of 1.12 and 30‑day volatility of ~29% suggest higher than average market sensitivity, while its sizable market cap and rising trading volume mitigate liquidity concerns. Overall, the stock presents a mixed picture: technical upside potential tempered by valuation concerns and insider selling, balanced by robust cash generation and a sustainable dividend.
Fundamentally, WAB delivers solid revenue growth of 13% YoY, healthy operating margins (~19%), and strong free cash flow that comfortably covers its modest 0.47% dividend yield with a low 15% payout ratio, indicating dividend sustainability. The company’s beta of 1.12 and 30‑day volatility of ~29% suggest higher than average market sensitivity, while its sizable market cap and rising trading volume mitigate liquidity concerns. Overall, the stock presents a mixed picture: technical upside potential tempered by valuation concerns and insider selling, balanced by robust cash generation and a sustainable dividend.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Recent insider selling indicating potential downside pressure
- Bearish MACD divergence despite bullish SMA alignment
- Price approaching identified support level around $253
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- 13% revenue growth and expanding backlog
- Strong free cash flow supporting dividend sustainability
- Overvaluation relative to DCF and industry peers
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Robust cash generation and low payout ratio
- Strategic position in a critical industrial rail segment
- Potential price correction aligning market price with intrinsic value
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth13.00%
Profit Margin10.52%
P/E Ratio36.9
ROE11.31%
ROA6.04%
Debt/Equity62.03
P/B Ratio4.0
Op. Cash Flow$1.8B
Free Cash Flow$1.1B
Industry P/E30.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI49.3
Support$253.01
Resistance$274.49
MA 20$263.37
MA 50$258.35
MA 200$225.44
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.34
Valuation
Fair Value$112.17
Target Price$300.00
Upside/Downside15.03%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.47%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.12
Volatility29.26%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.