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WAB:NYSEWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time

$260.81

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies (WAB) is trading near its 20‑day SMA of ~263, comfortably above the 50‑day SMA of ~258, indicating a short‑term bullish bias, while the 200‑day SMA sits near 225, confirming a longer‑term uptrend. The RSI hovers around 49, suggesting neutral momentum, but the MACD histogram remains negative with the line below the signal, flagging bearish pressure. Volume has been increasing, supporting the price move, yet recent insider sales totaling over $43 million raise a caution flag. Valuation metrics are stretched: the market price of $260 is well above the DCF‑derived fair value of $112 and the trailing P/E of 37 exceeds the industry average of 30, pointing to an overvalued condition.
Fundamentally, WAB delivers solid revenue growth of 13% YoY, healthy operating margins (~19%), and strong free cash flow that comfortably covers its modest 0.47% dividend yield with a low 15% payout ratio, indicating dividend sustainability. The company’s beta of 1.12 and 30‑day volatility of ~29% suggest higher than average market sensitivity, while its sizable market cap and rising trading volume mitigate liquidity concerns. Overall, the stock presents a mixed picture: technical upside potential tempered by valuation concerns and insider selling, balanced by robust cash generation and a sustainable dividend.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Recent insider selling indicating potential downside pressure
  • Bearish MACD divergence despite bullish SMA alignment
  • Price approaching identified support level around $253

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • 13% revenue growth and expanding backlog
  • Strong free cash flow supporting dividend sustainability
  • Overvaluation relative to DCF and industry peers

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Robust cash generation and low payout ratio
  • Strategic position in a critical industrial rail segment
  • Potential price correction aligning market price with intrinsic value

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth13.00%
Profit Margin10.52%
P/E Ratio36.9
ROE11.31%
ROA6.04%
Debt/Equity62.03
P/B Ratio4.0
Op. Cash Flow$1.8B
Free Cash Flow$1.1B
Industry P/E30.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI49.3
Support$253.01
Resistance$274.49
MA 20$263.37
MA 50$258.35
MA 200$225.44
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.34

Valuation

Fair Value$112.17
Target Price$300.00
Upside/Downside15.03%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.47%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.12
Volatility29.26%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.