VWS:OMXCOPVestas Wind Systems A/S Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-27 - not real-time
DKK 181.35
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Vestas Wind Systems (VWS.CO) is trading at DKK 181.35, comfortably above its 200‑day SMA of 157.51 but below the 20‑day (193.28) and 50‑day (184.56) averages, indicating short‑term pressure yet a longer‑term uptrend. The RSI of 39 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory, while the MACD histogram remains negative, signaling a bearish momentum signal that could reverse as the price holds the identified support at DKK 181.05. Technical indicators point to a modest upside of roughly 4 %, reinforced by an “Extreme Greed” market sentiment (Fear‑Greed Index 91.3) and stable volume, though the 30‑day volatility of 30 % adds a short‑term risk layer.
On the fundamentals side, Vestas delivered a 14 % YoY revenue rise to EUR 4 bn in Q1 2026, with EBIT margin improving to 3.2 % and a robust order intake of EUR 5.2 bn, underpinning future growth. The company trades at a forward P/E of 16.8 versus an industry average forward P/E of ~30, and its dividend yield of 0.39 % is backed by a low payout ratio of 8.7 %, making the dividend sustainable. Strong ROE (23 %) and a net‑cash position (cash DKK 4.38 bn vs debt DKK 3.94 bn) provide a solid balance sheet, while the low beta (~0.3) suggests limited market‑wide price swings.
On the fundamentals side, Vestas delivered a 14 % YoY revenue rise to EUR 4 bn in Q1 2026, with EBIT margin improving to 3.2 % and a robust order intake of EUR 5.2 bn, underpinning future growth. The company trades at a forward P/E of 16.8 versus an industry average forward P/E of ~30, and its dividend yield of 0.39 % is backed by a low payout ratio of 8.7 %, making the dividend sustainable. Strong ROE (23 %) and a net‑cash position (cash DKK 4.38 bn vs debt DKK 3.94 bn) provide a solid balance sheet, while the low beta (~0.3) suggests limited market‑wide price swings.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support with modest upside potential
- Oversold RSI indicating possible rebound
- Strong Q1 order intake supporting near‑term revenue
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth of 14 % YoY and improving EBIT margins
- Attractive forward P/E relative to industry peers
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Secular growth in renewable energy demand
- Robust balance sheet with net cash position
- Consistently high ROE and low beta indicating stable returns
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth14.40%
Profit Margin4.42%
P/E Ratio28.6
ROE23.20%
ROA2.84%
Debt/Equity100.61
P/B Ratio6.4
Op. Cash FlowDKK2.0B
Free Cash FlowDKK621.4M
Industry P/E30.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI39.0
SupportDKK 181.05
ResistanceDKK 200.60
MA 20DKK 193.28
MA 50DKK 184.56
MA 200DKK 157.51
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.3
Valuation
Fair ValueDKK 15.43
Target PriceDKK 189.03
Upside/Downside4.23%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.39%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.31
Volatility30.50%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.