VRSK:NASDAQVerisk Analytics, Inc. Analysis

Verisk Analytics is trading around $171.5, which sits below its 20‑day SMA (~$172) and well under the 50‑day (~$179) and 200‑day (~$215) averages, confirming a bearish price trend. The RSI at the mid‑40s signals neutral momentum, while the MACD line has crossed above its signal line, generating a bullish histogram that suggests a short‑term bounce may be possible. However, a 30‑day volatility of roughly 39% and a computed beta near -0.13 highlight heightened price swings and a weak correlation to the broader market, raising the overall risk profile. The DCF fair‑value estimate of about $80.8 is dramatically lower than the current market price, implying the stock is substantially overvalued relative to intrinsic fundamentals.
On the fundamentals side, Verisk delivers exceptional profitability with a gross margin near 70% and operating margin above 45%, while revenue is growing modestly at ~4% annually. Free cash flow exceeds $940 million and the dividend yield of 1.17% is supported by a payout ratio under 30%, indicating dividend sustainability. Recent product announcements—including the Model Context Protocol for conversational AI and expanded catastrophe‑risk model access—could unlock new revenue streams, and analyst consensus remains a “Buy” with a mean target near $220, suggesting upside potential if valuation compresses.