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VRA:NASDAQVera Bradley, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-01 - not real-time

$3.40

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

The moving-average structure behind Vera Bradley, Inc. is neutral at $3.40, with no clear ordering between short and long averages. Over a rolling month the price has lost 9.3%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 51.4 (neutral) with MACD reading bullish. Price has been bracketed by support at $3.04 and resistance at $3.61.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. Consensus targets land 47.1% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 7.8% on a -7.0% profit margin.
Risk scores 8 out of 10, which is high for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 37.9%, a beta of 0.81 and a maximum drawdown of 40.2%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 2 out of 10.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Trading above the 200-day average of 3.18
  • MACD momentum is positive
  • 30-day price change of -9.3%

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Trading above the 200-day average of 3.18
  • Analyst targets imply +47.1% versus the current price
  • MACD momentum is positive

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Negative profit margin of -7.0%
  • Analyst targets imply +47.1% versus the current price
  • Negative return on equity of -14.1%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth7.80%
Profit Margin-7.02%
P/E Ratio-113.3
ROE-14.09%
ROA-3.71%
Debt/Equity51.38
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash Flow$2.7M
Free Cash Flow$28.5M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI51.4
Support$3.04
Resistance$3.61
MA 20$3.31
MA 50$3.60
MA 200$3.18
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.79

Valuation

Fair Value$15.89
Target Price$5.00
Upside/Downside47.06%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.81
Volatility37.92%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.