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VOW:XETRVolkswagen AG Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-19 - not real-time

€80.78

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Volkswagen AG is trading at €80.78, well below its 20‑day SMA of 88.62 and the 200‑day SMA of 94.84, indicating a lagging price relative to longer‑term trends. The RSI of 31.6 suggests the stock is in oversold territory, while the MACD histogram remains negative, flagging bearish momentum despite a recent increase in trading volume. The price sits just above the identified support level of €79.90, leaving limited downside but also a narrow cushion for a bounce.
Fundamentally, the company appears deeply undervalued with a trailing PE of 6.6, forward PE of 3.2, and a price‑to‑book ratio of 0.23, while analysts project a mean target of €111.54 – an upside of roughly 38%. However, the balance sheet shows a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of over 137, zero dividend payout, and modest profitability margins, underscoring the need to watch leverage and cash‑flow sustainability as the group navigates the EV transition and tightening emissions regulations.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Oversold RSI indicating potential short‑term rebound
  • Price near technical support with increasing volume
  • Bearish MACD but valuation gap provides cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Significant upside to analyst target prices
  • Low PE and forward PE suggest strong earnings potential
  • Improving cash‑flow coverage despite high leverage

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic positioning in EV and mobility services
  • Elevated debt‑to‑equity ratio may constrain flexibility
  • Regulatory and emissions pressures in core markets

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-2.50%
Profit Margin2.12%
P/E Ratio6.6
ROE3.10%
ROA1.29%
Debt/Equity137.09
P/B Ratio0.2
Op. Cash Flow€17.2B
Free Cash Flow€11.5B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI31.6
Support€79.90
Resistance€93.72
MA 20€88.62
MA 50€88.27
MA 200€94.84
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.25

Valuation

Target Price€111.54
Upside/Downside38.07%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.05
Volatility26.70%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.