VOW:XETRVolkswagen AG Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time
€89.68
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Volkswagen’s share price sits below its 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages and is also under the 200‑day trend line, signaling a bearish technical backdrop, while the MACD histogram has turned positive and the RSI hovers in the mid‑50s, suggesting limited momentum but no oversold condition. Volume has been on a downtrend, and the market sentiment index reads in the “Extreme Greed” zone, yet the stock still trades near the identified support level with a sizable upside potential relative to the current resistance. Fundamentally, the company is trading at a very low P/E and P/B, delivers a dividend yield approaching 6%, and maintains a payout ratio just above 50%, indicating a sustainable dividend profile backed by strong operating and free cash flow. The balance sheet shows ample cash against a high absolute debt load, but the debt‑to‑equity ratio is elevated, reflecting the capital‑intensive nature of the auto industry. Analysts’ consensus is a “Buy” with a mean target price well above today’s level, implying a 20%+ upside. Overall, the valuation appears markedly undervalued, the dividend looks sustainable, and the long‑term growth narrative around electrification and diversified services supports a positive outlook.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical positioning below key moving averages
- Decreasing volume trend
- Support level provides downside buffer
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation gap (low P/E, P/B)
- Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
- Analyst target price implies strong upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Strategic shift toward electric vehicles and mobility services
- Robust cash generation and manageable dividend policy
- Undervalued multiples relative to long‑term earnings potential
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-2.50%
Profit Margin2.12%
P/E Ratio7.3
ROE3.10%
ROA1.29%
Debt/Equity137.09
P/B Ratio0.3
Op. Cash Flow€17.2B
Free Cash Flow€11.5B
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI56.2
Support€82.66
Resistance€90.06
MA 20€87.19
MA 50€87.98
MA 200€95.93
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Valuation
Target Price€111.54
Upside/Downside24.37%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.87%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.38
Volatility26.48%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.