VOTE:NASDAQTCW Transform 500 ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-09 - not real-time
$86.70
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
VOTE is trading at $86.70, just below its 30‑day resistance of $86.72 and comfortably above its 20‑, 50‑ and 200‑day simple moving averages (83.86, 80.40, 79.20), underscoring a strong bullish bias. The MACD line (1.71) remains above its signal (1.54) with a positive histogram, while the RSI of 73.7 flags an overbought condition, suggesting short‑term caution.
Fundamentally, the ETF delivers a 5.68% YTD return and a 23.15% 3‑year annualized return, paired with an ultra‑low expense ratio of 0.05% and zero tracking error or premium/discount, indicating efficient index replication. Volatility sits at 14.9% over the past 30 days and beta hovers around 1.0, aligning closely with the broader market, while a modest dividend yield of ~0.94% provides additional income. The Fear & Greed Index at 90.73 (Extreme Greed) reinforces the current momentum. Overall, risk is moderate: sector concentration is low, tracking risk is low, currency risk is low, but liquidity is only medium due to relatively modest trading volumes.
Fundamentally, the ETF delivers a 5.68% YTD return and a 23.15% 3‑year annualized return, paired with an ultra‑low expense ratio of 0.05% and zero tracking error or premium/discount, indicating efficient index replication. Volatility sits at 14.9% over the past 30 days and beta hovers around 1.0, aligning closely with the broader market, while a modest dividend yield of ~0.94% provides additional income. The Fear & Greed Index at 90.73 (Extreme Greed) reinforces the current momentum. Overall, risk is moderate: sector concentration is low, tracking risk is low, currency risk is low, but liquidity is only medium due to relatively modest trading volumes.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price flirting with resistance at $86.72
- RSI indicating overbought conditions
- Bullish MACD but short‑term pull‑back risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustained price above all major SMAs
- Strong YTD and 3‑year performance
- Low expense ratio and zero tracking error
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Diversified large‑blend exposure
- Consistent historical returns with modest volatility
- Efficient index tracking and modest dividend yield
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio5.00%
AUM$1.0B
Inception Date2021-06-22
Avg Daily Volume16,180
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.94%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI73.7
Support$79.59
Resistance$86.72
MA 20$83.86
MA 50$80.40
MA 200$79.20
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index90.73
Risk Assessment
Beta1.00
Volatility14.87%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.