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VOR:NASDAQVor Biopharma Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-09 - not real-time

$16.94

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Vor Biopharma (VOR) is trading at $16.94, which sits just below its 20‑day SMA of $15.17 and comfortably above the 50‑day SMA of $14.96, while remaining well under the 200‑day SMA of $21.75, indicating a short‑term price lift but a longer‑term downtrend. The MACD line sits at 0.205 with a bullish signal, and the RSI of 61.6 suggests momentum is still healthy but not overbought. Volatility is extreme at 91% over the past 30 days and a beta of ~2.0 points to amplified market moves, compounded by a historic max drawdown of –87%, underscoring a high‑risk profile. Extreme Greed sentiment (FGI 90.73) and a calculated upside/downside potential of 121% further highlight speculative interest despite the bearish long‑term trend.
Fundamentally, VOR reports zero revenue, negative EBITDA of $‑339 M, and ongoing cash burn (operating cash flow $‑143 M, free cash flow $‑181 M), yet holds $455 M in cash and minimal debt. The stock has a strong‑buy consensus from eight analysts with a median price target of $40, implying a potential upside of over 130% from current levels. Recent material news includes multiple inducement grants to new employees, signaling continued talent acquisition, while notable share sales by RA Capital hint at short‑term selling pressure. Given the lack of dividends, negative earnings multiples, and high clinical‑stage risk, the valuation appears undervalued relative to analyst targets, but the company remains a high‑risk, growth‑oriented play.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD histogram and moderate RSI
  • Price positioned near support with room to test resistance
  • Decreasing volume suggesting a potential short‑term pull‑back

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong analyst consensus (strong_buy) and median target $40
  • Significant upside potential (121% upside/downside metric)
  • Pipeline of novel autoimmune therapies driving growth expectations

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term therapeutic potential in high‑need autoimmune market
  • Substantial cash runway relative to current burn rate
  • Undervalued price relative to forward PE and analyst targets

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio-4.5
ROA-70.41%
P/B Ratio-4.0
Op. Cash Flow$-142712992
Free Cash Flow$-180674000
Industry P/E26.4

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI61.6
Support$13.66
Resistance$17.32
MA 20$15.17
MA 50$14.96
MA 200$21.75
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.73

Valuation

Target Price$37.50
Upside/Downside121.37%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.99
Volatility91.04%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.