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VONV:NASDAQVanguard Russell 1000 Value ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-16 - not real-time

$107.61

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

VONV is firmly entrenched in a bullish technical environment, trading above its 20‑day (104.27) and 50‑day (101.69) simple moving averages and well above the 200‑day SMA (94.92), while the MACD remains bullish and volume is increasing. The RSI of 69 signals strong momentum but hints at approaching overbought conditions, and the fund is respecting a near‑term support level around 101.22 with resistance near 108.02.
Fundamentally, the ETF boasts a ultra‑low expense ratio of 0.06%, a modest beta of 0.77 indicating lower market volatility, and a 30‑day volatility of 13.2% which is comfortable for a large‑cap value vehicle. Recent performance has been robust – a 13.65% YTD return and an 18% three‑year annualized return – complemented by a 1.64% dividend yield. The max drawdown of just 7.2% and an “Extreme Greed” sentiment index (92.8) further underscore a favorable risk‑reward profile, while tracking error is effectively zero.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical indicators with price above key moving averages
  • RSI nearing overbought but still below extreme levels
  • Proximity to resistance suggests limited upside in the near term

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Low expense ratio and solid dividend yield
  • Moderate beta and controlled volatility supporting steady growth
  • Strong YTD and multi‑year returns indicating continued value momentum

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified large‑cap value exposure tracking the Russell 1000 Value Index
  • Zero tracking error and minimal tracking risk
  • Historical resilience with limited drawdowns and attractive cost structure

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.06%
AUM$21.5B
Inception Date2010-09-20
Avg Daily Volume1,188,730
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.64%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI69.2
Support$101.22
Resistance$108.02
MA 20$104.27
MA 50$101.69
MA 200$94.92
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.82

Risk Assessment

Beta0.77
Volatility13.18%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.