VONV:NASDAQVanguard Russell 1000 Value ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-09 - not real-time
$102.61
Latest Price
3/10Risk
Risk Level: Low
Executive Summary
The ETF is trading at $102.61, comfortably above its 20‑day (100.14), 50‑day (97.22) and 200‑day (92.77) simple moving averages, indicating a solid bullish bias. Momentum indicators reinforce this view: the 14‑day RSI sits at 68.4 (near‑overbought but still bullish) and the MACD line (1.49) sits above its signal (1.33) with a positive histogram. The fund’s beta of 0.76 suggests lower volatility than the broader market, while its expense ratio of just 0.06% keeps costs minimal. YTD return of 10.41% and an “Extreme Greed” reading on the Fear & Greed Index (90.73) reflect strong recent performance and investor enthusiasm.
However, price action is approaching the technical resistance at 103.03 and trading volume has been on a downtrend, which could temper short‑term upside. The recent support level at 97.04 provides a cushion, and the historical max drawdown of –7.22% indicates modest downside risk. With zero tracking error and no premium/discount, the ETF tracks its benchmark tightly. Overall, the blend of low cost, diversified large‑cap value exposure and favorable momentum supports a positive outlook, especially for medium‑ and long‑term investors.
However, price action is approaching the technical resistance at 103.03 and trading volume has been on a downtrend, which could temper short‑term upside. The recent support level at 97.04 provides a cushion, and the historical max drawdown of –7.22% indicates modest downside risk. With zero tracking error and no premium/discount, the ETF tracks its benchmark tightly. Overall, the blend of low cost, diversified large‑cap value exposure and favorable momentum supports a positive outlook, especially for medium‑ and long‑term investors.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near resistance at $103.03
- RSI at 68.4 suggesting near‑overbought conditions
- Decreasing volume trend
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Bullish trend confirmed by SMAs and MACD
- Low beta (0.76) reducing volatility exposure
- Strong YTD return of 10.41% and low expense ratio (0.06%)
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Diversified large‑cap value exposure
- Zero tracking error and no premium/discount
- Consistently low costs and modest historical drawdown
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.06%
AUM$20.4B
Inception Date2010-09-20
Avg Daily Volume763,280
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.68%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI68.4
Support$97.04
Resistance$103.03
MA 20$100.14
MA 50$97.22
MA 200$92.77
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.73
Risk Assessment
Beta0.76
Volatility13.31%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.