VOD:LSEVodafone Group Public Limited Company Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time
£115.75
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Vodafone (VOD.L) is trading at £115.75, notably below its DCF‑derived fair value of £123.87, implying a modest upside. The stock benefits from a low beta of 0.27 and a forward P/E of 10.5, well under the telecom sector average of 16.9, signalling relative cheapness. Volume is trending lower, yet liquidity remains solid, and technicals show a bullish MACD histogram with RSI around 57, supporting a neutral‑to‑positive short‑term outlook. Recent material news highlights Vodafone’s acquisition of the remaining stake in the VodafoneThree joint venture for £4.3 bn, a move expected to unlock synergies and reinforce its UK market position, while analysts note that the turnaround narrative is increasingly priced in.
The company’s dividend yield of 3.45% is attractive, but a payout ratio just above 100% raises questions about long‑term sustainability despite strong operating cash flow. High leverage (debt‑to‑equity ~100%) and a modest profit margin (‑0.98%) temper enthusiasm, though free cash flow remains healthy. Overall, the blend of valuation upside, dividend appeal, and strategic consolidation suggests a cautiously optimistic stance, with attention needed on debt servicing and dividend durability.
The company’s dividend yield of 3.45% is attractive, but a payout ratio just above 100% raises questions about long‑term sustainability despite strong operating cash flow. High leverage (debt‑to‑equity ~100%) and a modest profit margin (‑0.98%) temper enthusiasm, though free cash flow remains healthy. Overall, the blend of valuation upside, dividend appeal, and strategic consolidation suggests a cautiously optimistic stance, with attention needed on debt servicing and dividend durability.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- DCF suggests price upside
- Bullish MACD and neutral RSI
- Strategic acquisition of VodafoneThree
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Forward P/E well below industry
- Synergy benefits from UK market consolidation
- Strong operating cash flow supporting dividend
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- High leverage and borderline dividend coverage
- Stable telecom cash‑flow profile
- Potential regulatory and geographic headwinds
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Profit Margin-0.98%
P/E Ratio10.5
ROE0.11%
ROA1.52%
Debt/Equity100.15
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash Flow£14.3B
Free Cash Flow£5.2B
Industry P/E17.0
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI57.2
Support£105.85
Resistance£131.10
MA 20£111.97
MA 50£114.40
MA 200£101.84
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair Value£123.87
Target Price£105.04
Upside/Downside-9.25%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.45%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.27
Volatility33.94%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.