VOD:LSEVodafone Group Public Limited Company Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
Latest Price
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Vodafone shares are trading at £107.85, comfortably above the 20‑day SMA (113.38) but still above the 50‑day SMA (107.91), indicating a short‑term bullish bias despite a bearish MACD histogram and a neutral RSI of 41.2. The forward P/E of 12.1 sits well below the telecom industry average of 18.3, suggesting relative valuation appeal, yet the company wrestles with a negative profit margin (-11.4%), a high debt‑to‑equity ratio (95.2), and a payout ratio exceeding 100%, raising concerns about dividend sustainability. A recent share‑repurchase programme and the appointment of a new Group CFO were highlighted in the latest earnings call, providing a modest catalyst for the near‑term. However, the DCF‑derived fair value of £870.48 and a modest upside/downside of -6.7% underscore the disconnect between market pricing and fundamental expectations, while the dividend yield of 3.65% remains attractive only if earnings improve.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearKey Factors
- Price hovering just above support at £104.25
- Bearish MACD histogram indicating downward momentum
- Share‑repurchase announcement providing short‑term demand
Medium Term
1–3 yearsKey Factors
- Forward P/E of 12.1 versus industry average of 18.3
- Revenue growth of 7.3% and stable volume trends
- New CFO and strategic focus on digital/IoT services
Long Term
> 3 yearsKey Factors
- DCF fair value (£870.48) far above current price
- Diversified geographic footprint reducing single‑country risk
- Attractive dividend yield (3.65%) if earnings turn positive
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Technical Analysis
Valuation
Risk Assessment
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.