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VOD:LSEVodafone Group Public Limited Company Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

£107.85

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Vodafone shares are trading at £107.85, comfortably above the 20‑day SMA (113.38) but still above the 50‑day SMA (107.91), indicating a short‑term bullish bias despite a bearish MACD histogram and a neutral RSI of 41.2. The forward P/E of 12.1 sits well below the telecom industry average of 18.3, suggesting relative valuation appeal, yet the company wrestles with a negative profit margin (-11.4%), a high debt‑to‑equity ratio (95.2), and a payout ratio exceeding 100%, raising concerns about dividend sustainability. A recent share‑repurchase programme and the appointment of a new Group CFO were highlighted in the latest earnings call, providing a modest catalyst for the near‑term. However, the DCF‑derived fair value of £870.48 and a modest upside/downside of -6.7% underscore the disconnect between market pricing and fundamental expectations, while the dividend yield of 3.65% remains attractive only if earnings improve.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering just above support at £104.25
  • Bearish MACD histogram indicating downward momentum
  • Share‑repurchase announcement providing short‑term demand

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Forward P/E of 12.1 versus industry average of 18.3
  • Revenue growth of 7.3% and stable volume trends
  • New CFO and strategic focus on digital/IoT services

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value (£870.48) far above current price
  • Diversified geographic footprint reducing single‑country risk
  • Attractive dividend yield (3.65%) if earnings turn positive

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth7.30%
Profit Margin-11.36%
P/E Ratio12.1
ROE-6.62%
ROA1.37%
Debt/Equity95.22
P/B Ratio57.8
Op. Cash Flow£14.8B
Free Cash Flow£12.8B
Industry P/E18.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI41.2
Support£104.25
Resistance£120.95
MA 20£113.38
MA 50£107.91
MA 200£91.42
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index80.34

Valuation

Fair Value£870.48
Target Price£100.65
Upside/Downside-6.68%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.65%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.18
Volatility26.39%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.