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VOD:JSEVodacom Group Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-29 - not real-time

ZAC 15,393.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical momentum remains positive as the stock trades comfortably above its short‑ and long‑term moving averages, with the MACD line comfortably above its signal line indicating bullish pressure. The RSI sits in a neutral zone, suggesting there is still room for upside without immediate overbought concerns, while the exceptionally low beta points to a defensive profile despite a 30‑day volatility that is on the higher side for the sector.
Fundamentally, the company appears attractively priced; its forward price‑to‑earnings ratio sits below the industry average, and the dividend yield is among the highest in the communications space, supported by a payout ratio well under the typical threshold for sustainability. Strong operating cash flow and free cash flow generation underpin the dividend and provide a cushion for capital expenditures, while a discounted cash‑flow model indicates a material upside potential. Revenue growth remains healthy, and margins are solid, though the business faces medium to high regulatory and geographic risks given its footprint across several emerging markets. Overall, the blend of technical strength, attractive valuation, and robust cash generation makes the stock compelling, albeit with a watchful eye on potential regulatory headwinds.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and price above key moving averages
  • Neutral RSI leaving upside potential
  • Decreasing volume signaling caution

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to industry PE
  • Strong cash flow and sustainable high dividend yield
  • DCF model indicating upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Dividend sustainability supported by solid free cash flow
  • Growth opportunities in fintech, cloud and IoT services
  • Resilient earnings despite regulatory and geographic exposure

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth9.40%
Profit Margin12.31%
P/E Ratio14.8
ROE25.36%
ROA9.46%
Debt/Equity87.89
P/B Ratio3.3
Op. Cash FlowZAC56.0B
Free Cash FlowZAC39.1B
Industry P/E17.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI57.2
SupportZAC 13,967.00
ResistanceZAC 15,980.00
MA 20ZAC 15,183.35
MA 50ZAC 14,807.04
MA 200ZAC 14,375.30
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.36

Valuation

Fair ValueZAC 37,384.24
Target PriceZAC 15,865.00
Upside/Downside3.07%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.26%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.10
Volatility28.49%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.