VMM:NSEVishal Mega Mart Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-27 - not real-time
₹109.48
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook shows the price trading below the short‑term moving average while the mid‑term average remains higher, confirming a bearish alignment. The MACD histogram is negative and the signal line sits above the MACD line, reinforcing downside momentum. RSI has slipped into the lower half of its range, hinting at oversold conditions but not yet a clear reversal signal. Volume has been picking up, suggesting increased participation as the price hovers near a key support zone, while the nearest resistance sits well above the current level.
Fundamental backdrop features robust revenue expansion and a healthy forward earnings outlook, yet valuation multiples are markedly high, with price‑to‑earnings and price‑to‑book ratios well above market averages. The company carries modest leverage, no dividend payout, and operates in a consumer‑cyclical segment that is sensitive to economic swings. Analyst consensus leans strongly bullish on price targets, implying a sizable upside potential, but the elevated valuation and heightened volatility temper enthusiasm.
Fundamental backdrop features robust revenue expansion and a healthy forward earnings outlook, yet valuation multiples are markedly high, with price‑to‑earnings and price‑to‑book ratios well above market averages. The company carries modest leverage, no dividend payout, and operates in a consumer‑cyclical segment that is sensitive to economic swings. Analyst consensus leans strongly bullish on price targets, implying a sizable upside potential, but the elevated valuation and heightened volatility temper enthusiasm.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- bearish MACD alignment
- price below short‑term moving average
- proximity to technical support
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- strong revenue growth trajectory
- forward earnings improvement
- analyst price targets indicating upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- sustained consumer demand in the retail segment
- high valuation limiting margin of safety
- moderate leverage and solid cash position
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth18.70%
Profit Margin6.61%
P/E Ratio57.6
Debt/Equity26.82
P/B Ratio6.9
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI37.7
Support₹106.31
Resistance₹123.69
MA 20₹114.79
MA 50₹117.52
MA 200₹124.70
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.84
Valuation
Target Price₹147.39
Upside/Downside34.63%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.55
Volatility25.32%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.